CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Alphamega Stadium
Referee: C. Theouli
Apollon Limassol
Match Timeline
Aris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
B. Gaspar ↔ A. Shikkis
Apollon Limassol
14'
A. Youssef
Apollon Limassol
33'
A. Youssef
Apollon Limassol
45'
D. Escriche
Apollon Limassol
🔄
46'
M. Brown ↔ T. Lam
Apollon Limassol
🔄
46'
E. Sofroniou ↔ Vana Alves
Aris
🔄
46'
G. Kalulu ↔ M. Sane
Aris
🔄
46'
R. Ergas ↔ G. Kastanos
Aris
🔄
46'
D. Gaustad ↔ R. McCausland
Aris
🔄
60'
G. Weissbeck ↔ P. Charalambous
Apollon Limassol
🔄
60'
A. Youssef ↔ P. Marques
Apollon Limassol
65'
R. Effaghe
Aris
🔄
72'
V. Nikolic ↔ A. Kakoullis
Aris
74'
A. Kakoullis
Aris
🔄
80'
G. Rodrigues ↔ A. Vrikkis
Apollon Limassol
🟨
81'
Charalampos Charalampous
Aris
🟨
90'
Zacharias Adoni
Apollon Limassol

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Apollon Limassol Win 81%
Draw 0%
Aris Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Apollon Limassol1.3
Aris1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
WWDLW
47 GF / 34 GA
Aris Aris
WLDWL
64 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
15
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
22
1.42
Shots on Goal
2.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 34 matches
Aris Aris 38 matches
Apollon Limassol Statistic Aris
19 Wins 16
7 Draws 10
8 Losses 12
47 Goals For 64
34 Goals Against 45
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
15 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 32
15 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 13
14 Clean Sheets 15
6 Failed To Score 7
1.42 Shots On Goal 2.06
4.65 Total Shots 5.54
1.9 Corners 2.03
22.2% Ball Possession 18.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aris. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Apollon Limassol expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Aris in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aris having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Apollon Limassol Analysis

Apollon Limassol sit 3 with 64 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 47:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandon Thomas (9 goals), P. Marques (8 goals), G. Rodrigues (6 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Aris Analysis

With 51 points from 34 games and a place of 6, Aris still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 56:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Montnor (8 goals), R. Effaghe (8 goals), Andronikos Kakoullis (6 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Apollon Limassol won 3 times, Aris won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:27 from Apollon Limassol's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Apollon Limassol 3-1-4-2 / Aris 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Apollon Limassol wins 3, draws 2, Aris wins 10

Lineups

Apollon Limassol
Formation
Aris
P. Kuhn
P. Kuhn
G. Malekkidis
G. Malekkidis
B. Gaspar
B. Gaspar
J. Kvida
J. Kvida
Z. Adoni
Z. Adoni
A. Youssef
⚽ 2
A. Youssef
G. Rodrigues
G. Rodrigues
I. Ljubic
I. Ljubic
M. Brown
M. Brown
G. Weissbeck
G. Weissbeck
D. Escriche
D. Escriche
E. Sofroniou
E. Sofroniou
L. Balogun
L. Balogun
R. Ergas
R. Ergas
G. Kalulu
G. Kalulu
C. Charalampous
C. Charalampous
D. Gaustad
D. Gaustad
J. Montnor
J. Montnor
Gustavo Paje
Gustavo Paje
V. Nikolic
V. Nikolic
Y. Bourhane
Y. Bourhane
R. Effaghe
R. Effaghe
Apollon Limassol 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
22
P. Kuhn
G
14
G. Malekkidis
D
76
B. Gaspar
↓ 9'
D
44
J. Kvida
D
4
Z. Adoni
🟨 90'
D
80
A. Youssef
⚽ 14' ⚽ 33' ↓ 60'
M
10
G. Rodrigues
↓ 80'
M
77
I. Ljubic
M
5
M. Brown
↓ 46'
M
27
G. Weissbeck
↓ 60'
M
30
D. Escriche
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
41
P. Leeuwenburgh
G
31
K. Stylianou
G
26
A. Shikkis
↑ 9'
D
3
T. Lam
↑ 46'
D
86
P. Charalambous
↑ 60'
F
91
I. Polyviou
M
45
A. Vrikkis
↑ 80'
M
43
P. Marques
↑ 60'
F
89
R. Rotis
F
Aris 3-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
E. Sofroniou
↓ 46'
G
27
L. Balogun
D
40
R. Ergas
↓ 46'
D
2
G. Kalulu
↓ 46'
D
76
C. Charalampous
🟨 81'
M
29
D. Gaustad
↓ 46'
M
66
J. Montnor
M
30
Gustavo Paje
22
V. Nikolic
↓ 72'
M
18
Y. Bourhane
M
99
R. Effaghe
⚽ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
Vana Alves
↑ 46'
G
26
A. Pishias
G
9
A. Kokorin
F
12
A. Dimitriou
D
19
M. Sane
↑ 46'
D
28
G. Kastanos
↑ 46'
M
36
V. Neokleous
38
G. Melas
M
39
S. Pourikkos
M
45
R. McCausland
↑ 46'
M
80
A. Kakoullis
⚽ 74' ↑ 72'
F
88
C. Fi Akamba
M
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
16.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
GO Ahead Eagles
3
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
Utrecht
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
5
L
10.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
L
14.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
3
2
W
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
1
1
D
15.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
02.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
30.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
Last matches: Aris
22.05.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
2
2
D
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
25.01.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
10.01.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
H2H: Apollon Limassol vs Aris
16.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
L
14.12.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
L
18.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
2
3
L
13.04.25
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
1
L
07.01.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
1
1
D
21.09.24
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
14.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
0
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
L
02.04.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
L
23.01.23
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
1
L
17.10.22
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
L
15.05.22
H2H
Aris
Apollon Limassol
1
4
W
Last matches: Apollon Limassol
16.07.26
Fri
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
08.03.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEL
2
1
W
21.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Olympiakos
3
1
W
24.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Akritas
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
04.01.26
1.
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
2
1
W
14.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
L
07.12.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Anorthosis
0
0
D
23.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
W
02.11.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
18.10.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
21.09.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
3
0
W
29.08.25
1.
Apollon Limassol
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
H2H at home: Apollon Limassol
16.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
W
14.12.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
L
18.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
2
3
L
07.01.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
1
1
D
14.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
L
17.10.22
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
L
Last matches: Aris
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
14.12.25
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
W
07.12.25
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
21.11.25
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
2
L
26.10.25
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
22.09.25
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
2
3
L
30.08.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Aris
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Aris
Puskas Academy
2
0
W
H2H away: Aris
16.05.26
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
3
2
L
14.12.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
2
W
18.05.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
2
3
W
07.01.25
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
1
1
D
14.01.24
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
1
W
17.10.22
H2H
Apollon Limassol
Aris
0
3
W

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6
Aris Away
26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)