BRAZIL SERIE C
09.05.2026 20:00
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Referee: T. Gomes
AO Itabaiana
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Joao Victor
Floresta
🟨
38'
Gustavo Crecci
AO Itabaiana
🟨
40'
Buga
Floresta
🔄
59'
Buga ↔ Marco Antonio
Floresta
🟨
64'
Caique
Floresta
🔄
68'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
🔄
68'
Matheus Martins ↔ Daniel
Floresta
🔄
72'
Jefferson ↔ Leo Souza
AO Itabaiana
🔄
72'
Tarcisio ↔ Tito
AO Itabaiana
🔄
72'
Renatinho ↔ Dione
AO Itabaiana
🟨
77'
Dione
AO Itabaiana
🟨
79'
Afonso
Floresta
🔄
82'
Leilson ↔ Pedro Igor
AO Itabaiana
🟨
85'
Floresta
Floresta
🔄
89'
Jeam ↔ Joao Celeri
Floresta
🔄
89'
Garraty ↔ Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🔄
90'
Lucas Bessa ↔ Fabricio Moura
AO Itabaiana

AO Itabaiana vs Floresta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AO Itabaiana Win 0%
Draw 0%
Floresta Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
AO Itabaiana1
Floresta1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WWDLW
5 GF / 12 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 5 matches
Floresta Floresta 5 matches
AO Itabaiana Statistic Floresta
0 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
5 Goals For 6
12 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Floresta's more proactive style and AO Itabaiana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Floresta. Floresta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 8 points while AO Itabaiana sit 20 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control. AO Itabaiana have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 20, AO Itabaiana still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Kanela (2 goals), Isaque (1 goals), Karl (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Floresta Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Floresta have collected 8 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel (2 goals), Eliandro (1 goals), Garraty (1 goals), with creative support from Matheusinho (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, Floresta won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from AO Itabaiana's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: AO Itabaiana wins 0, draws 2, Floresta wins 2

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation