10.05.2026 14:00
Bosuilstadion
Referee: B. Verbeke
Antwerp
Match Timeline
Charleroi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Dennis Praet
Antwerp
⚽
41'
Y. Titraoui · Assist: K. Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi
🟨
57'
Lewin Blum
Charleroi
🔄
63'
A. Bernier ↔ J. Romsaas
Charleroi
🟨
67'
Vincent Janssen
Antwerp
🔄
70'
D. Praet ↔ M. Benitez
Antwerp
🔄
70'
E. Tuypens ↔ F. Adekami
Antwerp
🔄
74'
Y. Titraoui ↔ Y. Khalifi
Charleroi
🔄
74'
P. Guiagon ↔ P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🔄
77'
Y. Tsunashima ↔ G. Hairemans
Antwerp
🟨
81'
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Charleroi
VAR
85'
Anthony Valencia
Antwerp
🔄
87'
X. Dierckx ↔ G. Vandeplas
Antwerp
🔄
87'
K. Van Den Kerkhof ↔ A. Colassin
Charleroi
🟨
90'
Mohamed Koné
Charleroi

Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 38.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
38.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Antwerp Win 38.7%
Draw 28.8%
Charleroi Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antwerp1.21
Charleroi1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antwerp Antwerp
WWDLW
41 GF / 44 GA
Charleroi Charleroi
WLDWL
47 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
17
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
17
4.31
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antwerp Antwerp 36 matches
Charleroi Charleroi 38 matches
Antwerp Statistic Charleroi
12 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
16 Losses 17
41 Goals For 47
44 Goals Against 50
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
17 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 30
15 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 9
4.31 Shots On Goal 4.18
11.72 Total Shots 12.16
4.5 Corners 5.13
49.2% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charleroi. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antwerp expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Antwerp Analysis

Antwerp come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 27 points after 36 matches. The return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, together with goals at 41:44, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vincent Janssen (10 goals), Christopher Scott (6 goals), A. Valencia (4 goals), with creative support from Vincent Janssen (7 assists), Gyrano Kerk (4 assists), D. Foulon (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charleroi Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 27 points from 36 games, Charleroi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:48, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Guiagon (9 goals), A. Bernier (6 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), K. Van Den Kerkhof (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Antwerp won 5 times, Charleroi won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Antwerp's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.2%)
Predicted formations: Antwerp 3-4-1-2 / Charleroi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Antwerp wins 5, draws 2, Charleroi wins 8

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round