Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America de Cali
28 matches
Atletico Nacional
29 matches
| America de Cali | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 19 |
| 5 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 40 | Goals For | 54 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 6.12 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 16.31 |
| 3.71 | Corners | 4.88 |
| 55.2% | Ball Possession | 56.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Nacional. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America de Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Nacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Nacional having the stronger overall control. Atletico Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 25:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Yeison Guzmán (3 goals), Dany Rosero (2 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), Yeison Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Alfredo Morelos (1 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (1 goals), Marlos Moreno (1 goals), with creative support from Alfredo Morelos (1 assists), Matheus Uribe (1 assists), Andrés Román (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 4 times, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from America de Cali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
America de Cali
6
4
6
9
1
3
Lineups
America de Cali
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Chico
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
America de Cali
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
Millonarios
America de Cali
Cucuta
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
Llaneros
America de Cali
Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Tachira FC
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
Junior
America de Cali
Chico
America de Cali
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
Millonarios
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
America de Cali
Llaneros
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
America de Cali
Jaguares
America de Cali
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
Junior
America de Cali
Union Magdalena
America de Cali
Junior
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
Envigado
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Águilas Doradas
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
America de Cali
Home
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
L
|