COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
Referee: S. Bismark
America de Cali
Match Timeline
Atletico Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Cristian Tovar
America de Cali
46'
Y. Guzman · Assist: R. Carrascal
America de Cali
🟨
47'
Jean Fernandes
America de Cali
🔄
61'
E. Tortolero ↔ J. Lucumi
America de Cali
🔄
64'
Y. A. Perlaza Perea ↔ S. Velasquez
Atletico Nacional
🔄
64'
M. Uribe ↔ J. Rengifo
Atletico Nacional
🟨
68'
Simon Garcia
Atletico Nacional
🔄
72'
T. Angel ↔ A. Ramos
America de Cali
🔄
72'
A. Sarmiento ↔ C. Arango
Atletico Nacional
🟨
78'
Rafael Carrascal
America de Cali
🟨
78'
Alfredo Morelos
Atletico Nacional
🟨
82'
Marlos Moreno
Atletico Nacional
🔄
84'
Y. Quintero ↔ B. Cordoba
America de Cali
🔄
84'
R. Carrascal ↔ J. Cavadia
America de Cali
🟨
90+7'
Milton Casco
Atletico Nacional
VAR
90+5'
Cristian Arango
Atletico Nacional
🔄
90+2'
E. Cardona ↔ N. Rodriguez
Atletico Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 56.2%
Draw 3.6%
Atletico Nacional Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.25
Atletico Nacional1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
40 GF / 23 GA
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WLDWL
54 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
10
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
20
4.63
Shots on Goal
6.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 28 matches
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 29 matches
America de Cali Statistic Atletico Nacional
15 Wins 19
5 Draws 1
8 Losses 9
40 Goals For 54
23 Goals Against 28
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
10 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 20
3 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 8
4.63 Shots On Goal 6.12
13.58 Total Shots 16.31
3.71 Corners 4.88
55.2% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Nacional. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America de Cali expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Nacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Nacional having the stronger overall control. Atletico Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

America de Cali Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 25:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Yeison Guzmán (3 goals), Dany Rosero (2 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), Yeison Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Nacional Analysis

Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Alfredo Morelos (1 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (1 goals), Marlos Moreno (1 goals), with creative support from Alfredo Morelos (1 assists), Matheus Uribe (1 assists), Andrés Román (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 4 times, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from America de Cali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-4-2 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 4, draws 3, Atletico Nacional wins 8
Stats
America de Cali America de Cali
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 13
15 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
301 Total passes 472
241 Passes accurate 409
0.82 expected_goals 0.73
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

America de Cali
Formation
Atletico Nacional
Jean
Jean
Y. Quintero
Y. Quintero
C. Tovar
C. Tovar
D. Rosero
D. Rosero
O. Bertel
O. Bertel
R. Carrascal
🎯
R. Carrascal
J. Escobar
J. Escobar
E. Tortolero
E. Tortolero
Y. Guzman
Y. Guzman
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
T. Angel
T. Angel
F. Armani
F. Armani
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
S. Garcia
S. Garcia
W. Tesillo
W. Tesillo
M. Casco
M. Casco
M. Uribe
M. Uribe
J. Campuzano
J. Campuzano
M. Moreno
M. Moreno
E. Cardona
E. Cardona
A. Sarmiento
A. Sarmiento
A. Morelos
A. Morelos
America de Cali 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Jean
🟨 47'
G
18
Y. Quintero
↓ 84'
D
24
C. Tovar
🟨 35'
D
3
D. Rosero
D
30
O. Bertel
D
15
R. Carrascal
🎯 46' ↓ 84' 🟨 78'
M
5
J. Escobar
M
77
E. Tortolero
↓ 61'
M
10
Y. Guzman
⚽ 46'
M
88
J. Palacios
M
21
T. Angel
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Montoya
G
20
A. Ramos
↑ 72'
F
2
M. Torres
D
44
B. Cordoba
↑ 84'
D
14
M. Mina
D
17
J. Lucumi
↑ 61'
F
35
K. Angulo
F
6
J. Cavadia
↑ 84'
M
31
J. Aponza
Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
34
F. Armani
G
27
Y. A. Perlaza Perea
↓ 64'
D
28
S. Garcia
🟨 68'
D
16
W. Tesillo
D
20
M. Casco
🟨 90+7'
D
8
M. Uribe
↓ 64'
M
21
J. Campuzano
M
7
M. Moreno
🟨 82'
M
10
E. Cardona
↓ 90+2'
M
29
A. Sarmiento
↓ 72'
M
9
A. Morelos
🟨 78'
F
Substitutes
25
L. Marquinez
G
17
C. Arango
↑ 72'
F
13
N. Rodriguez
↑ 90+2'
F
33
S. Velasquez
↑ 64'
M
4
C. Haydar
D
31
X. Rios
M
3
N. Parra
D
19
J. Rengifo
↑ 64'
F
26
F. Marin
Last matches: America de Cali
06.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
7
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Cucuta
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Nacional
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
1
0
W
03.06.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
7
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
3
2
W
07.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
2
1
W
02.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
3
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
2
0
W
11.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
4
0
W
H2H: America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional
10.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
05.02.26
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
2
1
L
08.12.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
W
21.11.25
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
1
0
L
16.11.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
2
2
D
02.11.25
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
4
1
L
24.08.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
1
D
10.03.25
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
1
0
L
15.12.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
13.12.24
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
3
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
2
1
L
28.01.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
W
30.11.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
1
0
L
24.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
W
Last matches: America de Cali
02.08.26
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
7
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
08.12.25
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
W
27.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
24.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Union Magdalena
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
2
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pri
America de Cali
Envigado
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
America de Cali
Once Caldas
2
1
W
H2H at home: America de Cali
10.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
08.12.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
W
16.11.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
1
D
15.12.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
28.01.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
W
30.11.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Nacional
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
3
0
W
03.06.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
3
2
W
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Atletico Nacional
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
0
3
L
11.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
4
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Águilas Doradas
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
08.12.25
Pri
Atletico Nacional
America de Cali
2
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
14.11.25
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Junior
1
2
L
31.10.25
Pri
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
3
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Nacional
10.08.26
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
0
L
08.12.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
3
2
L
16.11.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
1
D
15.12.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
28.01.24
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
L
30.11.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
1
W
24.09.23
H2H
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
4
1
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification