BRAZIL SERIE C
24.05.2026 19:30
Referee: M. Martins
Amazonas
Match Timeline
Ferroviária
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Italo Silva
Amazonas
🟨
21'
Raoni
Ferroviária
🟨
40'
Ze Vitor
Ferroviária
🟨
41'
Jhonny Lucas
Amazonas
🟨
41'
Ronaldo
Amazonas
45'
Ronaldo
Amazonas
🔄
46'
Italo Silva ↔ Alyson
Amazonas
🔄
46'
P. Nunez ↔ Victor Jesus
Amazonas
🔄
46'
Raoni ↔ Rafael Carillho
Ferroviária
54'
Denilson Chaves
Ferroviária
🔄
56'
Ronaldo ↔ Rafael Tavares
Amazonas
🔄
60'
Vitor Barreto ↔ Fabio Soares
Ferroviária
🔄
62'
Iury ↔ Kauan Firmo
Amazonas
75'
Denilson Chaves
Ferroviária
🟨
78'
Victor Jesus
Amazonas
🔄
80'
Fabiano ↔ Leo Guerra
Amazonas
🔄
87'
Allison ↔ Rhuan
Ferroviária
🔄
87'
Denilson Chaves ↔ Douglas Skilo
Ferroviária
🟨
90'
Gustavo Medina
Ferroviária
🟨
90'
Ferroviária
Ferroviária
🔄
90+2'
Felipe Rodrigues ↔ Guilherme Ferreira
Ferroviária

Amazonas vs Ferroviária Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Amazonas Win 85.7%
Draw 0%
Ferroviária Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amazonas1.26
Ferroviária0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amazonas Amazonas
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WLDWL
6 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amazonas Amazonas 7 matches
Ferroviária Ferroviária 7 matches
Amazonas Statistic Ferroviária
4 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
10 Goals For 6
5 Goals Against 7
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Amazonas's more proactive style and Ferroviária's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Amazonas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to Ferroviária in 14 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviária having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ferroviária.

Amazonas Analysis

Amazonas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 13 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Schiappacasse (3 goals), Gabriel Cipriano (2 goals), Gabriel Domingos (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 6:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Allison (3 goals), Denilson (1 goals), Vinni Faria (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Amazonas won 0 times, Ferroviária won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Amazonas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Amazonas wins 0, draws 1, Ferroviária wins 2

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation