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SPAIN › SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Almeria
FT
1 - 0
Valladolid
UD Almeria Stadium
Referee: M. Perez
Almeria
Match Timeline
Valladolid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Carlos Clerc
Valladolid
🟨
42'
Álex Muñoz
Almeria
🟨
42'
Clément Michelin
Valladolid
🟨
55'
Pablo Tomeo
Valladolid
⚽
57'
S. Arribas
Almeria
🔄
66'
A. Ndiaye ↔ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
Valladolid
🔄
66'
A. Carvajal ↔ Peter Federico
Valladolid
🔄
66'
I. Alani ↔ M. Maroto
Valladolid
🔄
72'
A. Embarba ↔ J. Morcillo
Almeria
🔄
72'
S. Arribas ↔ N. Melamed
Almeria
🔄
80'
Leo Baptistao ↔ A. Puigmal
Almeria
🔄
81'
J. Ponceau ↔ I. Alejo
Valladolid
🔄
81'
S. Biuk ↔ B. Chinedu
Valladolid
🔄
87'
M. Luna ↔ D. Chirino
Almeria
🔄
87'
M. de la Fuente ↔ Thalys
Almeria
🟨
90+2'
Arnau Puigmal
Almeria
🟨
90+7'
Brain Obosso
Valladolid

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 36.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
36.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Almeria Win 77.6%
Draw 8.8%
Valladolid Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almeria1.7
Valladolid1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almeria Almeria
WWDLW
83 GF / 65 GA
Valladolid Valladolid
WLDWL
44 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
31
BTTS Yes
17
31
Over 2.5
18
5.52
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almeria Almeria 43 matches
Valladolid Valladolid 42 matches
Almeria Statistic Valladolid
22 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
13 Losses 20
83 Goals For 44
65 Goals Against 57
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
31 BTTS Yes 17
37 Over 1.5 26
31 Over 2.5 18
18 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 17
5.52 Shots On Goal 3.88
15.17 Total Shots 12.51
4.81 Corners 5.41
51.9% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 3 times, Valladolid won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Almeria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Almeria 4-2-3-1 / Valladolid 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Almeria wins 3, draws 4, Valladolid wins 5
Stats
Almeria Almeria
Valladolid Valladolid
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 2
17 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
46% Ball Possession 54%
25 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 7
343 Total passes 402
294 Passes accurate 337
3.29 expected_goals 1.18
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Almeria
Formation
Valladolid
A. Fernandez
A. Fernandez
M. Luna
↓
M. Luna
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely
F. Bonini
F. Bonini
A. Munoz
A. Munoz
S. Dzodic
S. Dzodic
D. Lopy
D. Lopy
Leo Baptistao
↓
Leo Baptistao
S. Arribas
⚽ ↓
S. Arribas
A. Embarba
↓
A. Embarba
M. de la Fuente
↓
M. de la Fuente
Guilherme Fernandes
Guilherme Fernandes
C. Michelin
C. Michelin
P. Tomeo
P. Tomeo
D. Torres
D. Torres
C. Clerc
C. Clerc
I. Alani
↓
I. Alani
A. Carvajal
↓
A. Carvajal
J. Ponceau
↓
J. Ponceau
A. Ndiaye
↓
A. Ndiaye
S. Biuk
↓
S. Biuk
J. Latasa
J. Latasa
Almeria 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Fernandez
G
16
M. Luna
↓ 87'
D
5
Rodrigo Ely
D
18
F. Bonini
D
3
A. Munoz
🟨 42'
D
29
S. Dzodic
M
17
D. Lopy
M
12
Leo Baptistao
↓ 80'
M
11
S. Arribas
⚽ 57' ↓ 72'
M
23
A. Embarba
↓ 72'
M
24
M. de la Fuente
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
13
F. Martinez
G
21
Chumi
D
2
A. Puigmal
↑ 80' 🟨 90+2'
M
22
D. Chirino
↑ 87'
D
9
Thalys
↑ 87'
F
4
N. Monte
D
14
I. Baba
M
7
J. Morcillo
↑ 72'
F
20
A. Centelles
D
10
N. Melamed
↑ 72'
M
8
Gui Guedes
M
Valladolid 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
Guilherme Fernandes
G
2
C. Michelin
🟨 42'
D
15
P. Tomeo
🟨 55'
D
4
D. Torres
D
18
C. Clerc
🟨 25'
D
12
I. Alani
↓ 66'
M
38
A. Carvajal
↓ 66'
21
J. Ponceau
↓ 81'
M
11
A. Ndiaye
↓ 66'
M
17
S. Biuk
↓ 81'
M
9
J. Latasa
F
Substitutes
26
A. de Pablo
G
1
A. Aceves
G
14
I. Alejo
↑ 81'
F
27
I. Garriel
D
23
M. Jaouab
D
8
V. A. Meseguer Cavas
↑ 66'
M
22
Peter Federico
↑ 66'
F
16
M. Maroto
↑ 66'
M
30
H. Modesto
D
37
Riki
M
40
B. Chinedu
↑ 81' 🟨 90+7'
F
35
A. Galdeano
D
Last matches: Almeria
07.08.26
Fri
Almeria
Cordoba
4
0
W
04.08.26
Fri
Almeria
Al-Nassr
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Almeria
Real Betis
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Almeria
Granada CF
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Almeria
Águilas
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Malaga
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Malaga
0
0
D
09.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Castellón
3
2
W
06.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Castellón
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
1
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Burgos
0
0
D
04.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Mirandes
4
2
W
26.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Granada CF
4
2
W
19.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Malaga
3
2
W
12.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Racing Santander
1
5
L
05.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Leganes
2
1
W
02.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Castellón
0
2
L
29.03.26
Seg
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
5
1
W
20.03.26
Seg
Almeria
Huesca
3
1
W
Last matches: Valladolid
08.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
4
2
W
05.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Gimnástica Segoviana
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Groningen
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Valladolid
CD Coria
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Valladolid
Getafe
0
0
D
24.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Racing Santander
1
4
L
09.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Zaragoza
2
0
W
03.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Las Palmas
1
2
L
25.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
19.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
FC Andorra
0
1
L
13.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Eibar
0
0
D
04.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
L
31.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cadiz
3
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Burgos
0
1
L
22.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Mirandes
1
2
L
14.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Leganes
3
2
W
07.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Malaga
3
3
D
28.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Huesca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
2
2
D
H2H: Almeria vs Valladolid
31.05.26
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
3
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
0
D
05.09.22
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
1
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
2
2
D
20.11.21
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
3
1
W
18.03.18
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
2
1
L
15.10.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
1
D
07.05.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
3
L
26.11.16
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
0
0
D
30.03.14
H2H
Valladolid
Almeria
1
0
L
02.11.13
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
W
Last matches: Almeria
20.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Malaga
1
2
L
09.06.26
Seg
Almeria
Castellón
3
2
W
16.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Las Palmas
1
2
L
04.05.26
Seg
Almeria
Mirandes
4
2
W
19.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Malaga
3
2
W
05.04.26
Seg
Almeria
Leganes
2
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
5
1
W
09.03.26
Seg
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
3
0
W
21.02.26
Seg
Almeria
Cordoba
2
1
W
13.02.26
Seg
Almeria
FC Andorra
3
2
W
01.02.26
Seg
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
4
2
W
17.01.26
Seg
Almeria
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
03.01.26
Seg
Almeria
Granada CF
3
2
W
14.12.25
Seg
Almeria
Burgos
1
2
L
29.11.25
Seg
Almeria
Huesca
0
0
D
16.11.25
Seg
Almeria
Cadiz
3
0
W
01.11.25
Seg
Almeria
Eibar
3
1
W
26.10.25
Seg
Almeria
Castellón
1
0
W
11.10.25
Seg
Almeria
Zaragoza
4
2
W
20.09.25
Seg
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
H2H at home: Almeria
31.05.26
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
W
28.05.23
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
0
D
20.11.21
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
3
1
W
15.10.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
1
D
07.05.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
3
L
02.11.13
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
W
Last matches: Valladolid
08.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
4
2
W
05.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Gimnástica Segoviana
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Valladolid
Groningen
0
1
L
16.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Racing Santander
1
4
L
03.05.26
Seg
Valladolid
Las Palmas
1
2
L
19.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
FC Andorra
0
1
L
04.04.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
L
22.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Mirandes
1
2
L
07.03.26
Seg
Valladolid
Malaga
3
3
D
22.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Sporting Gijon
2
2
D
14.02.26
Seg
Valladolid
Granada CF
1
5
L
31.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Cordoba
1
3
L
17.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
3
0
W
11.01.26
Seg
Valladolid
Leganes
0
3
L
19.12.25
Seg
Valladolid
Eibar
0
3
L
06.12.25
Seg
Valladolid
Huesca
4
1
W
24.11.25
Seg
Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
0
1
L
09.11.25
Seg
Valladolid
Cadiz
0
0
D
29.10.25
Cop
Valladolid
Portugalete
0
1
L
26.10.25
Seg
Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
H2H away: Valladolid
31.05.26
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
L
28.05.23
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
0
D
20.11.21
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
3
1
L
15.10.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
1
D
07.05.17
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
0
3
W
02.11.13
H2H
Almeria
Valladolid
1
0
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Racing Santander
42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2
Deportivo La Coruna
42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3
Almeria Home
42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4
Malaga
42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5
Las Palmas
42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6
Castellón
42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7
Burgos
42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8
Eibar
42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9
Sporting Gijon
42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10
Cordoba
42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11
AD Ceuta FC
42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12
Albacete
42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13
FC Andorra
42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14
Granada CF
42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15
Real Sociedad II
42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16
Leganes
42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17
Valladolid Away
42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19
Mirandes
42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20
Huesca
42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21
Cultural Leonesa
42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22
Zaragoza
42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation