Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Almeria
Las Palmas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Almeria
41 matches
Las Palmas
40 matches
| Almeria | Statistic | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 18 |
| 8 | Draws | 12 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 81 | Goals For | 53 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.98 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.1 |
| 14.98 | Total Shots | 11.7 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Las Palmas. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Almeria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Las Palmas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Las Palmas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Almeria approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 71 points after 39 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with a 78:58 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on S. Arribas (24 goals), A. Embarba (14 goals), Leo Baptistao (9 goals), with creative support from A. Embarba (9 assists), S. Arribas (7 assists), A. Munoz (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Las Palmas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 66 points after 39 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, with a 52:37 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Jese (9 goals), M. Fuster (8 goals), A. Garcia (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fuster (10 assists), L. Amatucci (4 assists), Jese (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 5 times, Las Palmas won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Almeria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.
Almeria
5
6
9
2
4
6
Lineups
Almeria
Cordoba
Almeria
Al-Nassr
Almeria
Real Betis
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Águilas
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Valladolid
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Burgos
Almeria
Mirandes
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Racing Santander
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Huesca
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
NEOM
Las Palmas
União de Leiria
Las Palmas
Al-Ittihad FC
Las Palmas
Orlando Pirates
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Deportivo La Coruna
Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Valladolid
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Leganes
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Huesca
Las Palmas
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Albacete
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Valladolid
Almeria
Mirandes
Almeria
Malaga
Almeria
Leganes
Almeria
Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Almeria
Cordoba
Almeria
FC Andorra
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
Deportivo La Coruna
Almeria
Granada CF
Almeria
Burgos
Almeria
Huesca
Almeria
Cadiz
Almeria
Eibar
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Zaragoza
Almeria
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Orlando Pirates
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Deportivo La Coruna
Las Palmas
FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Eibar
Las Palmas
Albacete
Las Palmas
Cultural Leonesa
Las Palmas
Mirandes
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad II
Las Palmas
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
Castellón
Las Palmas
Valladolid
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
Extremadura 1924
Las Palmas
Huesca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Almeria
Home
|
42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Las Palmas
Away
|
42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|