Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Valledupar
28 matches
Santa Fe
38 matches
| Alianza Valledupar | Statistic | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 17 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 20 | Goals For | 55 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.81 | Shots On Goal | 4.51 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 12.27 |
| 4.11 | Corners | 4.51 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Santa Fe's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 29 points while Alianza Valledupar sit 17 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Alianza Valledupar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Valledupar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Santa Fe.
Alianza Valledupar sit 17 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 13:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Pardo (3 goals), J. Muñoz (3 goals), Yeiner Londoño (2 goals), with creative support from J. Lasso (3 assists), F. Pardo (2 assists), P. Franco (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Santa Fe are currently 7 in the standings with 29 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Rodallega (13 goals), N. Bustos (7 goals), Omar Fernández (5 goals), with creative support from Omar Fernández (8 assists), N. Bustos (5 assists), F. Fagúndez (4 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 5 times, Santa Fe won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Santa Fe
Away
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 |
Alianza Valledupar
Home
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|