COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
22.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Referee: J. Bautista
Alianza Valledupar
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
56'
Jhildrey Lasso
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
58'
D. Quinones ↔ F. Pardo
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
61'
Walmer Pacheco
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
62'
J. Castillo ↔ Y. Londono
Alianza Valledupar
VAR
65'
Yeiner Londoño
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
67'
L. Moreno ↔ N. Rengifo
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
69'
Wiston Fernández
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
69'
J. Largacha ↔ M. Perez
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
76'
S. Acosta ↔ J. Mena
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
79'
J. Monroy ↔ F. Delgado
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
79'
M. Aguirre ↔ F. Mosquera
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
82'
Israel Alba
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
85'
I. Alba ↔ Y. Rosales
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
85'
J. Munoz ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+1'
Pedro Franco
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
88.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 51.1%
Draw 37.8%
Deportivo Pereira Win 11.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar1.1
Deportivo Pereira1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
18 GF / 34 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
12
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
2.73
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 23 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 21 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Deportivo Pereira
3 Wins 1
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 12
18 Goals For 15
34 Goals Against 33
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 12
2.73 Shots On Goal 3.19
10.82 Total Shots 8.9
4.23 Corners 2.33
45.6% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Pereira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (2 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), Misael Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), Déinner Quiñones (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 19 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 7 times, Deportivo Pereira won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 7, draws 3, Deportivo Pereira wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification