COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Referee: Jose Bautista, Colombia
Alianza Valledupar
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
56'
J. Lasso
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
58'
D. Quinones ↔ F. Pardo
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
61'
W. Pacheco
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
62'
J. Castillo ↔ Y. Londono
Alianza Valledupar
VAR
62'
Y. Londono
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
67'
L. Moreno ↔ N. Rengifo
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
69'
W. Fernandez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
69'
J. Largacha ↔ M. Perez
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
76'
S. Acosta ↔ J. Mena
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
79'
M. Aguirre ↔ F. Mosquera
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
79'
J. Monroy ↔ F. Delgado
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
82'
I. Alba
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
85'
J. Munoz ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
85'
I. Alba ↔ Y. Rosales
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+1'
P. Franco
Alianza Valledupar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
88.9%
1.14
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.71
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.4%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 51.1%
Draw 37.8%
Deportivo Pereira Win 11.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar1.1
Deportivo Pereira1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
18 GF / 34 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
12
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
2.73
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 23 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 21 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Deportivo Pereira
3 Wins 1
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 12
18 Goals For 15
34 Goals Against 33
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 12
2.73 Shots On Goal 3.19
10.82 Total Shots 8.9
4.23 Corners 2.33
45.6% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Pereira arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (2 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), Misael Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), Déinner Quiñones (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 19 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 7 times, Deportivo Pereira won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 7, draws 2, Deportivo Pereira wins 3
Last matches: Alianza Valledupar
09.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
3
2
W
01.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
27.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
19.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
28.01.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
1
L
03.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
28.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
24.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
H2H: Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira
06.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
3
W
19.07.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
03.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
13.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
L
12.02.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
08.11.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
W
18.05.23
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
1
L
07.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
1
2
W
24.01.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
W
27.07.21
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
0
2
W
21.01.21
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
30.01.20
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
Last matches: Alianza Valledupar
09.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
19.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
1
1
D
11.01.26
Fri
Alianza Valledupar
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
2
0
W
24.10.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
12.10.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
3
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
1
0
W
15.08.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
0
0
D
H2H at home: Alianza Valledupar
19.07.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
12.02.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
L
08.11.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
W
24.01.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
W
21.01.21
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
30.01.20
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
1
5
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
12.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
28.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
22.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Envigado
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
H2H away: Deportivo Pereira
19.07.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
L
12.02.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
W
08.11.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
L
24.01.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
1
L
21.01.21
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
30.01.20
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.08
Draw 3.70
Home 1.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.46
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.88
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.49
Over 3.5 3.86
Under 1.5 3.09
Under 1.75 2.73
Under 2.0 2.34
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 3.60
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.40
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.73
Draw 3.65
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.41
Draw 2.07
Home 2.17
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.63
Draw 2.44
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.44
Over 3.0 2.96
Over 3.25 3.30
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.60
Over 4.0 6.50
Over 4.25 6.84
Over 4.5 7.20
Over 5.5 15.50
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.90
Under 0.75 7.29
Under 1.0 6.60
Under 1.25 3.85
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 1.75 2.56
Under 2.0 2.22
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.32
Under 3.25 1.25
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.55
Home 1.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.12
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.45
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.0 1.62
Over 2.25 1.90
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.50
Over 3.0 3.20
Over 3.25 3.50
Over 3.5 3.80
Over 3.75 4.75
Over 4.0 6.50
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.78
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.29
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.07

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W D L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L L D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L W
Post season qualification