Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.9%
|
1.91 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
2.23 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Valledupar
25 matches
Atletico Nacional
32 matches
| Alianza Valledupar | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 1 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 18 | Goals For | 58 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 2.83 | Shots On Goal | 6.1 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 16.28 |
| 4.21 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Nacional's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Atletico Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Alianza Valledupar sit 17 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Nacional. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Alianza Valledupar sit 17 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (2 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), Misael Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), Déinner Quiñones (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Nacional come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 19 matches. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Alfredo Morelos (1 goals), Marlos Moreno (1 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (1 goals), with creative support from Alfredo Morelos (1 assists), Matheus Uribe (1 assists), Andrés Román (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 2 times, Atletico Nacional won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:30 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 |
Alianza Valledupar
Home
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|