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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
09.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Referee: W. Montano
Alianza Valledupar
Match Timeline
Águilas Doradas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Cristian Vergara
Alianza Valledupar
⚽
21'
I. Rojas · Assist: A. Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
🔄
33'
F. A. Suarez Chalare ↔ A. Vasquez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
36'
John Ontaneda
Águilas Doradas
⚽
45'
A. Vasquez · Assist: R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
46'
D. Quinones ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
57'
C. Villegas ↔ Y. Londono
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
58'
E. Arizalas ↔ M. Ramirez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
62'
Jair Castillo
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
63'
Andres Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
🟨
72'
Ever Meza
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
75'
Yeiner Londoño
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
77'
I. Rojas ↔ S. Rodriguez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
78'
A. Ricaurte ↔ J. Roa
Águilas Doradas
🔄
78'
R. Marquez ↔ J. E. Avalo Trejos
Águilas Doradas
🟨
79'
Frank Lozano
Águilas Doradas
🟨
80'
Misael Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
81'
J. Castillo ↔ J. E. Perez Balcazar
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
81'
J. Munoz ↔ E. W. Meza Mercado
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
82'
Juan Viveros
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
84'
J. Viveros ↔ P. Franco
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+2'
José Flabio Torres Díaz
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+4'
Josy Pérez
Alianza Valledupar
🟥
90+4'
Misael Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
VAR
90+6'
Yeiner Londoño
Alianza Valledupar
⚽
90'
M. Martinez · Assist: J. E. Perez Balcazar
Alianza Valledupar
⚽
90'
J. Figueroa
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.18
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.7%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.18 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.7%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 26.3%
Draw 28.5%
Águilas Doradas Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar1.02
Águilas Doradas1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
26 GF / 52 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
34 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
17
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
14
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 32 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 30 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Águilas Doradas
6 Wins 10
11 Draws 10
15 Losses 10
26 Goals For 34
52 Goals Against 40
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
12 Failed To Score 8
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.9
11.06 Total Shots 12.27
4.16 Corners 4.73
44.4% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Águilas Doradas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Águilas Doradas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

Alianza Valledupar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 17 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:27 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Pardo (4 goals), J. Muñoz (3 goals), C. Vergara (3 goals), with creative support from J. Lasso (4 assists), F. Pardo (3 assists), W. Fernández (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

With 26 points from 19 games and a place of 12, Águilas Doradas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 20:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jorge Rivaldo (10 goals), R. Márquez (4 goals), F. Lozano (3 goals), with creative support from E. Arízalas (5 assists), A. Ricaurte (4 assists), Bryan Urueña (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 5 times, Águilas Doradas won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.7%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 5, draws 2, Águilas Doradas wins 8

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W W D L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L D D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W W W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W L L L D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L D D
Post season qualification