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06.10.2026 18:45
Arena Kombëtare
Referee: Mehmet Turkmen
Albania
Match Timeline
San Marino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Kristjan Asllani
Albania
🟨
38'
Filippo Fabbri
San Marino
🔄
46'
Ernest Muçi ↔ Anis Mehmeti
Albania
🟨
51'
Michele Cevoli
San Marino
🔄
56'
Arber Hoxha ↔ Myrto Uzuni
Albania
🔄
58'
Cristian Meloni ↔ Lorenzo Lazzari
San Marino
🔄
58'
Fausto Marino Salicioni ↔ Samuel Pancotti
San Marino
🔄
59'
Michele Cevoli ↔ Giacomo Benvenuti
San Marino
🔄
64'
Dante Rossi ↔ Marco Pasolini
San Marino
⚽
66'
Lorenzo Lazzari · Assist: Lorenzo Capicchioni
San Marino
🔄
71'
Mario Mitaj ↔ Ylber Ramadani
Albania
🔄
71'
Juljan Shehu ↔ Mirlind Daku
Albania
🟨
76'
Simone Giocondi
San Marino
🟨
84'
Nicolas Giacopetti
San Marino
🔄
86'
Lorenzo Capicchioni ↔ Giulio Maria Bugli
San Marino
⚽
90+3'
Kristjan Asllani
Albania
🟨
90+2'
Ardian Ismajli
Albania
VAR
90+1'
Ardian Ismajli
Albania

Albania vs San Marino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Albania Win 64.5%
Draw 26.6%
San Marino Win 8.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albania1.74
San Marino0.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albania Albania
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
San Marino San Marino
WLDWL
3 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.43
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
2.86
1
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
6
2.67
Shots on Goal
1.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albania Albania 6 matches
San Marino San Marino 7 matches
Albania Statistic San Marino
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
6 Goals For 3
5 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.43
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.86
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 4
2.67 Shots On Goal 1.14
10.17 Total Shots 2.43
4 Corners 2
37.5% Ball Possession 20.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Albania won 2 times, San Marino won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:0 from Albania's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Albania 3-4-3 / San Marino 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Albania wins 2, draws 0, San Marino wins 0

Standings

League C - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 0 1 8:3 5 9
W L W W
2 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
W W D L
3 4 2 1 1 9:2 7 7
L W D W
4 4 0 0 4 1:16 -15 0
L L L L
Promotion
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