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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
22.10.2026 14:45
Al Fateh club stadium

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Fateh Win 32%
Draw 33.2%
Al Shabab Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Fateh0.93
Al Shabab1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WWDLW
9 GF / 23 GA
Al Shabab Al Shabab
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.45
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 11 matches
Al Shabab Al Shabab 11 matches
Al-Fateh Statistic Al Shabab
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 3
9 Goals For 16
23 Goals Against 12
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.38
11.5 Total Shots 12.63
4.9 Corners 6
45% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Shabab. Al-Fateh have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Fateh expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Al Shabab in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Shabab having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Al-Fateh Analysis

Al-Fateh sit 16 with 3 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 4:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Batna (1 goals), L. Haraslín (1 goals), W. Kanga (1 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (1 assists), Z. Youssouf (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Shabab Analysis

So far, Al Shabab have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 7 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Carrasco (3 goals), Roger Martínez (2 goals), J. Brownhill (1 goals), with creative support from J. Brownhill (2 assists), Y. Carrasco (1 assists), Ricardo Mathias (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh won 5 times, Al Shabab won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Al-Fateh's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68%)
Predicted formations: Al-Fateh 5-4-1 / Al Shabab 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al-Fateh wins 5, draws 4, Al Shabab wins 6

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 14:8 6 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 13:12 1 15
W D D D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D L D W L
9 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
10 10 2 6 2 9:13 -4 12
W W D D D
11 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 10 1 3 6 9:20 -11 6
L W L L L
17 9 0 4 5 4:16 -12 4
D L L L D
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1