CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: A. Culina
Akritas
Match Timeline
AEL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
S. Miller
Akritas
21'
Z. Sawo
AEL
🟨
44'
Emmanuel Imanishimwe
AEL
🔄
46'
K. Antoniou ↔ E. Taffertshofer
Akritas
🔄
55'
D. Zdravkovski ↔ B. Z. Jradi
AEL
🔄
55'
F. R. Mughe ↔ D. Paroutis
AEL
🔄
61'
B. M. Manu ↔ Y. Castro
Akritas
🔄
74'
Carlitos ↔ T. Barry
Akritas
🔄
74'
E. Vignato ↔ G. Chatzivasilis
Akritas
🟨
78'
Zakaria Sawo
AEL
🔄
80'
S. Christofi ↔ F. Forestieri
AEL
🟨
83'
Panagiotis Kyriakou
AEL
🔄
84'
Z. Sawo ↔ C. Karamani
AEL
🔄
88'
B. Anang ↔ Benito
Akritas
🟨
89'
Thomas Ioannou
Akritas
90'
D. Paroutis
AEL

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Akritas Win 21.6%
Draw 0%
AEL Win 78.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Akritas1.13
AEL1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Akritas Akritas
WWDLW
30 GF / 56 GA
AEL AEL
WLDWL
39 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
12
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
17
0.9
Shots on Goal
1.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Akritas Akritas 32 matches
AEL AEL 32 matches
Akritas Statistic AEL
10 Wins 12
5 Draws 5
17 Losses 15
30 Goals For 39
56 Goals Against 45
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
12 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 11
0.9 Shots On Goal 1.66
3.31 Total Shots 4.52
1.52 Corners 1.55
18.4% Ball Possession 20.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AEL. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Akritas expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and AEL in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEL having the stronger overall control.

Akritas Analysis

Akritas are currently 12 in the standings with 35 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 30:56 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ioannis Chatzivasilis (6 goals), J. Romo (6 goals), S. Miller (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AEL Analysis

From their first 32 matches, AEL have collected 41 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 39:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luther Singh (9 goals), Z. Sawo (8 goals), Leo Natel (5 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Akritas won 2 times, AEL won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Akritas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Akritas 4-4-1-1 / AEL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Akritas wins 2, draws 1, AEL wins 4

Lineups

Akritas
Formation
AEL
K. Perntreou
K. Perntreou
N. Zinonos
N. Zinonos
S. Miller
S. Miller
P. Zabelin
P. Zabelin
T. Ioannou
T. Ioannou
Carlitos
Carlitos
K. Antoniou
K. Antoniou
B. Anang
B. Anang
B. M. Manu
B. M. Manu
E. Vignato
E. Vignato
J. Romo
J. Romo
P. Kyriakou
P. Kyriakou
Sergio Conceicao
Sergio Conceicao
S. Christofi
S. Christofi
E. Imanishimwe
E. Imanishimwe
F. R. Mughe
F. R. Mughe
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
D. Zdravkovski
D. Zdravkovski
I. Milosavljevic
I. Milosavljevic
A. Makris
A. Makris
Z. Sawo
Z. Sawo
P. Panagi
P. Panagi
Akritas 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Perntreou
G
29
N. Zinonos
D
4
S. Miller
⚽ 19'
D
28
P. Zabelin
D
19
T. Ioannou
🟨 89'
D
80
Carlitos
↓ 74'
M
5
K. Antoniou
↓ 46'
M
82
B. Anang
↓ 88'
D
37
B. M. Manu
↓ 61'
M
25
E. Vignato
↓ 74'
F
9
J. Romo
Substitutes
88
A. Theokli
G
99
Y. Becker
G
2
D. Moreira
D
7
T. Barry
↑ 74'
M
11
A. Athanasiou
M
16
I. Anthony
D
17
Y. Castro
↑ 61'
23
E. Taffertshofer
↑ 46'
M
30
G. Vasiliou
D
77
A. Limbombe
M
22
Benito
↑ 88'
F
26
G. Chatzivasilis
↑ 74'
M
AEL 3-4-3
Starting XI
98
P. Kyriakou
🟨 83'
G
35
Sergio Conceicao
D
14
S. Christofi
↓ 80'
24
E. Imanishimwe
🟨 44'
D
63
F. R. Mughe
↓ 55'
F
25
A. Panagiotou Filiotis
6
D. Zdravkovski
↓ 55'
M
19
I. Milosavljevic
M
33
A. Makris
M
27
Z. Sawo
⚽ 21' ↓ 84' 🟨 78'
F
90
P. Panagi
Substitutes
95
C. Neofytidis
G
99
A. Keravnos
G
8
V. Papafotis
M
10
B. Z. Jradi
↑ 55'
M
29
D. Paroutis
⚽ 90' ↑ 55'
M
22
K. Neofytou
D
45
F. Forestieri
↑ 80'
F
A. Karamanis
C. Karamani
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Akritas
09.05.26
1.
Akritas
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Akritas
Enosis
2
1
W
19.04.26
1.
Akritas
Olympiakos
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Akritas
Krasava Ypsonas
0
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Akritas
Anorthosis
2
3
L
14.03.26
1.
Akritas
Pafos
0
4
L
06.03.26
1.
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
0
3
L
01.03.26
1.
Akritas
Krasava Ypsonas
1
3
L
21.02.26
1.
Akritas
Olympiakos
3
1
W
14.02.26
1.
Akritas
Aris
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Akritas
Omonia Aradippou
0
2
L
01.02.26
1.
Akritas
Anorthosis
2
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Akritas
Apollon Limassol
0
4
L
17.01.26
1.
Akritas
AEL
0
2
L
10.01.26
1.
Akritas
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
03.01.26
1.
Akritas
Omonia Nicosia
0
4
L
20.12.25
1.
Akritas
Enosis
1
0
W
13.12.25
1.
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
3
1
W
05.12.25
1.
Akritas
Pafos
0
4
L
Last matches: AEL
09.05.26
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
0
1
L
17.04.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
1
W
04.04.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
0
W
22.03.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
3
L
20.02.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
0
W
15.02.26
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
09.02.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
01.02.26
1.
AEL
Aris
2
1
W
25.01.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
0
W
09.01.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
03.01.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
22.12.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
14.12.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
0
0
D
07.12.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
H2H: Akritas vs AEL
15.05.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
2
L
17.01.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
2
L
27.09.25
H2H
AEL
Akritas
0
2
W
09.05.23
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
AEL
Akritas
2
2
D
02.02.23
H2H
AEL
Akritas
2
1
L
28.10.22
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
3
L
Last matches: Akritas
01.05.26
1.
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Akritas
Krasava Ypsonas
0
2
L
14.03.26
1.
Akritas
Pafos
0
4
L
01.03.26
1.
Akritas
Krasava Ypsonas
1
3
L
14.02.26
1.
Akritas
Aris
1
1
D
01.02.26
1.
Akritas
Anorthosis
2
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Akritas
AEL
0
2
L
03.01.26
1.
Akritas
Omonia Nicosia
0
4
L
13.12.25
1.
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
3
1
W
01.12.25
1.
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
08.11.25
1.
Akritas
Olympiakos
1
1
D
26.10.25
1.
Akritas
Omonia Aradippou
0
1
L
04.10.25
1.
Akritas
Apollon Limassol
0
2
L
20.09.25
1.
Akritas
Apoel Nicosia
0
4
L
29.08.25
1.
Akritas
Enosis
1
0
W
H2H at home: Akritas
15.05.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
2
L
17.01.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
2
L
09.05.23
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
0
W
28.10.22
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
3
L
Last matches: AEL
02.05.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
0
W
08.03.26
1.
AEL
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
20.02.26
1.
AEL
Enosis
2
0
W
09.02.26
1.
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
0
3
L
25.01.26
1.
AEL
Anorthosis
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
AEL
Akritas
2
0
W
03.01.26
1.
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
1
0
W
14.12.25
1.
AEL
Olympiakos
0
0
D
07.12.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
23.11.25
1.
AEL
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
02.11.25
1.
AEL
Pafos
0
1
L
19.10.25
1.
AEL
Aris
0
4
L
22.09.25
1.
AEL
Omonia Nicosia
0
5
L
31.08.25
1.
AEL
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
H2H away: AEL
15.05.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
2
W
17.01.26
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
2
W
09.05.23
H2H
Akritas
AEL
1
0
L
28.10.22
H2H
Akritas
AEL
0
3
W

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8
AEL Away
26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)