Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ajax
Utrecht
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
40 matches
Utrecht
46 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 18 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 18 |
| 69 | Goals For | 70 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 12.61 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 42.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ajax expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Utrecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Utrecht having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Utrecht.
Ajax arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 55 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 61:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Godts (17 goals), W. Weghorst (7 goals), D. Klaassen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Godts (12 assists), O. Gloukh (6 assists), W. Weghorst (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Utrecht sit 8 with 47 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 51:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Zechiel (8 goals), D. de Wit (6 goals), V. Jensen (5 goals), with creative support from Souffian El Karouani (10 assists), G. Zechiel (4 assists), Y. Cathline (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 7 times, Utrecht won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Ajax
6
6
7
3
2
5
Lineups
Ajax
Burnley
Ajax
Vojvodina
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
VfL Bochum
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
Panathinaikos
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
Heerenveen
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
NAC Breda
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Heracles
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Cambuur
Utrecht
V-varen Nagasaki
Utrecht
Apollon Limassol
Utrecht
De Graafschap
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
NAC Breda
Utrecht
Excelsior
Utrecht
Telstar
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
Twente
Utrecht
Heracles
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Utrecht
Groningen
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Ajax
Burnley
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
VfL Bochum
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
Panathinaikos
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Ajax
Seraing United
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Groningen
Utrecht
Cambuur
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
Excelsior
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
Twente
Utrecht
Heracles
Utrecht
Groningen
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Celtic
Utrecht
FC Volendam
Utrecht
NAC Breda
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
Real Betis
Utrecht
Telstar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
SC Freiburg
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Brann
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
Utrecht
Away
|
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|