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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
30.08.2026 12:00
Strawberry Arena
Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
AIK Stockholm
Match Timeline
Hammarby FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Wilmer Olofsson
AIK Stockholm
⚽
14'
F. Adjei
Hammarby FF
⚽
15'
L. Carlstrand · Assist: K. Filling
AIK Stockholm
⚽
26'
Paulos Abraham
Hammarby FF
🔄
28'
A. Boudri ↔ T. Tekie
Hammarby FF
🟨
33'
Abdihakin Ali
AIK Stockholm
🔄
41'
D. Besirovic ↔ L. Camara
AIK Stockholm
⚽
45'
P. Abraham · Assist: V. Lind
Hammarby FF
🟨
48'
Yannick Geiger
AIK Stockholm
🟨
52'
Ladji Camara
AIK Stockholm
🔄
56'
A. Mujanic ↔ A. Kouame
AIK Stockholm
🟨
59'
Victor Eriksson
Hammarby FF
🔄
65'
V. Eriksson ↔ I. Fofana
Hammarby FF
🔄
65'
F. Adjei ↔ O. Johansson
Hammarby FF
⚽
72'
A. Kouame · Assist: K. Filling
AIK Stockholm
🔄
80'
L. Bergquist ↔ O. Pukelis
AIK Stockholm
🔄
80'
Y. Geiger ↔ L. Jareteg
AIK Stockholm
🔄
80'
K. Filling ↔ S. Gustafsson
AIK Stockholm
⚽
83'
S. Gustafsson · Assist: L. Camara
AIK Stockholm
🔄
85'
P. Abraham ↔ N. Besara
Hammarby FF
🔄
85'
H. Skoglund ↔ S. Kebbeh
Hammarby FF

AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AIK Stockholm Win 28.5%
Draw 16.7%
Hammarby FF Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AIK Stockholm1.39
Hammarby FF1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WWDLW
41 GF / 45 GA
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WLDWL
59 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
2.03
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
18
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
16
4.47
Shots on Goal
6.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 26 matches
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 29 matches
AIK Stockholm Statistic Hammarby FF
11 Wins 14
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
41 Goals For 59
45 Goals Against 32
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
18 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 5
4.47 Shots On Goal 6.82
13.12 Total Shots 17.86
5.35 Corners 6.09
52.5% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Hammarby FF's more proactive style and AIK Stockholm's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hammarby FF look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AIK Stockholm expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Hammarby FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hammarby FF having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hammarby FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

AIK Stockholm approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 28 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 25:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Linus Carlstrand (4 goals), Johan Hove (2 goals), Victor Andersson (1 goals), with creative support from Dino Beširović (2 assists), Taha Ayari (2 assists), Linus Carlstrand (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby FF Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 33 points from 17 games, Hammarby FF bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Paulos Abraham (4 goals), Montader Madjed (3 goals), Victor Lind (1 goals), with creative support from Victor Lind (4 assists), Amin Boudri (2 assists), Paulos Abraham (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AIK Stockholm won 6 times, Hammarby FF won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from AIK Stockholm's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: AIK Stockholm 4-3-3 / Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: AIK Stockholm 11, Hammarby FF 1
H2H summary: AIK Stockholm wins 6, draws 3, Hammarby FF wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 23 14 2 7 48:21 27 44
W L W W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10 23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 23 8 6 9 36:41 -5 30
W L L W L
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
Qualifying
Qualifying
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Relegation