COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
30.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Cincuentenario
Referee: Carlos Ortega
Águilas Doradas
Match Timeline
Chico
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Jacobo Pimentel
Chico
42'
J. Pimentel · Assist: E. Sarria
Chico
44'
S. Salazar
Chico
🔄
46'
A. Vasquez ↔ J. E. Avalo Trejos
Águilas Doradas
🔄
46'
I. Rojas ↔ R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
46'
J. Noguera ↔ J. Melendez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
58'
E. Sarria ↔ S. Navarro
Chico
🔄
58'
J. Pimentel ↔ S. Viveros
Chico
🔄
58'
A. Maya ↔ I. Camargo
Chico
VAR
62'
Eduar Arízalas
Águilas Doradas
63'
R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
70'
Sebastian Salazar
Chico
🔄
77'
M. Ramirez ↔ A. Carreno
Águilas Doradas
🔄
83'
J. Alomia ↔ D. Polanco
Chico
🔄
83'
S. Mera ↔ F. Cifuentes
Chico
84'
A. Mosquera
Águilas Doradas
🔄
86'
J. Mena ↔ F. A. Suarez Chalare
Águilas Doradas

Águilas Doradas vs Chico Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.3%
1.57
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.24
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
1.41
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 82.3%
Draw 8.8%
Chico Win 8.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.41
Chico0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
26 GF / 29 GA
Chico Chico
WLDWL
15 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
15
BTTS Yes
4
11
Over 2.5
10
3.65
Shots on Goal
2.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 23 matches
Chico Chico 23 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Chico
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 3
7 Losses 15
26 Goals For 15
29 Goals Against 42
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
15 BTTS Yes 4
17 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 15
3.65 Shots On Goal 2.96
11.48 Total Shots 9.91
4 Corners 3.74
48.7% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chico. Chico arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chico in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas sit 12 with 26 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), Javier Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), Eduar Arízalas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chico Analysis

Chico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 17 points from 19 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 11 times, Chico won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1 / Chico 4-5-1
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 11, draws 1, Chico wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18
Chico Away
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification