SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Tunavallen
AFC Eskilstuna
Match Timeline
Umeå FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Azizovic ↔ L. Mahmoud
AFC Eskilstuna
48'
E. Chabo · Assist: O. Blomdahl
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
57'
S. Forsman ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
🔄
70'
H. Hassan ↔ D. Bangala
Umeå FC
🔄
83'
O. Blomdahl ↔ L. Nihorimbere
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
83'
D. Zhuravlev ↔ U. Amadi
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
90'
E. Chabo ↔ L. Hanson
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
90+6'
S. Skoldqvist ↔ V. Lif
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
90'
J. Essombe Mambingo ↔ R. Andersson
Umeå FC
🔄
90'
Z. Bawa ↔ E. Yeboah
Umeå FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
AFC Eskilstuna Win 52.9%
Draw 15.5%
Umeå FC Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Eskilstuna1.77
Umeå FC1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna
WWDLW
47 GF / 37 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
40 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
16
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 24 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 25 matches
AFC Eskilstuna Statistic Umeå FC
13 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 11
47 Goals For 40
37 Goals Against 37
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
16 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Umeå FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control. AFC Eskilstuna come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

AFC Eskilstuna Analysis

From their first 14 matches, AFC Eskilstuna have collected 19 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 23:24 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC sit 9 with 16 points after 14 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, AFC Eskilstuna won 4 times, Umeå FC won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from AFC Eskilstuna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: AFC Eskilstuna wins 4, draws 0, Umeå FC wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L