Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
76.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AEK Larnaca
50 matches
Pafos
48 matches
| AEK Larnaca | Statistic | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 23 |
| 13 | Draws | 12 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 74 | Goals For | 78 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 20 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 1.62 | Shots On Goal | 2.41 |
| 4.53 | Total Shots | 6.61 |
| 1.83 | Corners | 2.83 |
| 21.6% | Ball Possession | 28.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pafos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AEK Larnaca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pafos in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pafos having the stronger overall control.
Placed 2 with 65 points from 34 outings, AEK Larnaca continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 56:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hrvoje Miličević (11 goals), Riad Bajić (10 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 4 with 58 points from 34 outings, Pafos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 62:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Correia (10 goals), Anderson Silva (9 goals), D. Luckassen (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca won 5 times, Pafos won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from AEK Larnaca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Lineups
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Akritas
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Anorthosis
Pafos
AEL
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
Pafos
Slavia Praha
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Chelsea
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
AEK Larnaca
Shkendija
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Aberdeen
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
Aris
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Akritas
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
Pafos
Chelsea
Pafos
Olympiakos
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Enosis
Pafos
Juventus
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
Anorthosis
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Kairat Almaty
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Omonia Aradippou
Pafos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AEK Larnaca
Home
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Pafos
Away
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|