ICELAND 1. DEILD
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GeoSalmo vollurinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ægir Win 25.3%
Draw 28.5%
HK Kopavogur Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ægir1.36
HK Kopavogur2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ægir Ægir
WWDLW
15 GF / 32 GA
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ægir Ægir 13 matches
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 12 matches
Ægir Statistic HK Kopavogur
2 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
9 Losses 5
15 Goals For 21
32 Goals Against 20
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by HK Kopavogur's more proactive style and Ægir's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ægir have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. HK Kopavogur carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 19 points while Ægir sit 11 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HK Kopavogur having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HK Kopavogur.

Ægir Analysis

Ægir approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 8 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HK Kopavogur Analysis

HK Kopavogur come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 19 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ægir won 0 times, HK Kopavogur won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Ægir's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.7%)
H2H summary: Ægir wins 0, draws 0, HK Kopavogur wins 2
Last matches: Ægir
03.07.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
2
4
L
29.06.26
1.
Ægir
Afturelding
1
8
L
26.06.26
1.
Ægir
Grindavik
0
0
D
21.06.26
1.
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
05.06.26
1.
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
27.05.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
4
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
0
1
L
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
03.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
1
2
L
26.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grindavik
2
2
D
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
27.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
18.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
0
W
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
01.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
W
H2H: Ægir vs HK Kopavogur
01.05.26
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
L
07.03.26
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
L
Last matches: Ægir
03.07.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
05.06.26
1.
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
4
1
W
17.05.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
0
1
L
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
03.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
1
2
L
26.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
0
W
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 1 3 34:18 16 25
W W W L L
2 12 8 0 4 23:17 6 24
W L W W L
3 12 7 2 3 25:13 12 23
L D W W W
4 12 6 2 4 22:20 2 20
D W W L W
5 12 6 1 5 21:20 1 19
L W D L W
6 11 5 3 3 14:12 2 18
W L W W W
7 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
W L W L W
8 11 5 1 5 21:25 -4 16
W D L L W
9 12 3 2 7 23:30 -7 11
L L D W L
10 10 1 6 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L L L
11
Ægir Home
13 2 2 9 15:32 -17 8
L L D L L
12 11 1 4 6 13:24 -11 7
D D W L L
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