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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
26.10.2026 19:45

Boulogne vs Reims Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Boulogne Win 21.1%
Draw 5.9%
Reims Win 72.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boulogne0.93
Reims1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boulogne Boulogne
WWDLW
12 GF / 19 GA
Reims Reims
WLDWL
31 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
11
3
Over 2.5
11
4.22
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boulogne Boulogne 17 matches
Reims Reims 16 matches
Boulogne Statistic Reims
3 Wins 7
8 Draws 7
6 Losses 2
12 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 20
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
7 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
3 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
4.22 Shots On Goal 5
11.67 Total Shots 11.78
3.89 Corners 2.67
44.7% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Reims's more proactive style and Boulogne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Reims. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Reims carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 17 points while Boulogne sit 12 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boulogne expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Reims in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Reims having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Boulogne Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Boulogne have collected 9 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Hbouch (3 goals), N. Binet (2 goals), T. Epailly (1 goals), with creative support from B. Besic (2 assists), A. Platret (1 assists), N. Fatar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Reims Analysis

Placed 2 with 17 points from 9 outings, Reims continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 19:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Fofana (7 goals), Y. El Kachati (2 goals), C. Kouranfal (2 goals), with creative support from D. Guindo (4 assists), Y. Fofana (1 assists), Y. El Kachati (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Boulogne won 1 times, Reims won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:14 from Boulogne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Boulogne 3-1-4-2 / Reims 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Boulogne wins 1, draws 2, Reims wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 22:8 14 22
W W D L W
2
Reims Away
9 4 5 0 19:11 8 17
W D D W D
3 9 5 2 2 12:10 2 17
L W W W W
4 9 5 1 3 11:8 3 16
W W W L L
5 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W W W L D
7 9 3 4 2 15:13 2 13
W L D L W
8 9 4 1 4 11:11 0 13
L W L L W
9 9 3 3 3 16:16 0 12
L W W W D
10 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
W L L W D
11 9 2 5 2 7:9 -2 11
L D D W D
12 9 1 6 2 6:6 0 9
W D L D D
13 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L L W D
14 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W L
16 9 0 7 2 9:12 -3 7
D L D D D
17 8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
18 9 1 3 5 13:20 -7 6
D L D L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3