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26.10.2026 19:30
Estadi de la FAF

FC Andorra vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Andorra Win 33.2%
Draw 15.9%
Burgos Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Andorra1.13
Burgos1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Andorra FC Andorra
WWDLW
24 GF / 26 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
6
5.2
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Andorra FC Andorra 19 matches
Burgos Burgos 15 matches
FC Andorra Statistic Burgos
7 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
24 Goals For 17
26 Goals Against 14
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 5
5.2 Shots On Goal 3.5
15.1 Total Shots 11.4
4.7 Corners 4.1
59.6% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Burgos's more proactive style and FC Andorra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Burgos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Andorra expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Burgos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Burgos having the stronger overall control. Burgos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 17 points while FC Andorra sit 18 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Andorra Analysis

FC Andorra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 10 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jordi Cano (4 goals), Nacho Quintana (2 goals), Hugo López (2 goals), with creative support from Jordi Cano (2 assists), Nacho Quintana (1 assists), T. Carrique (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Burgos Analysis

Burgos are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on David González (3 goals), Álex Forés (3 goals), Jon Karrikaburu (2 goals), with creative support from Jon Karrikaburu (2 assists), Javi Llabrés (2 assists), David González (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Andorra won 2 times, Burgos won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from FC Andorra's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Andorra 4-3-3 / Burgos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Andorra wins 2, draws 1, Burgos wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 0 2 20:7 13 24
W W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 18:4 14 23
W L D W W
3 10 7 1 2 20:11 9 22
D L W W W
4 10 6 1 3 11:9 2 19
W W W L W
5 10 5 3 2 17:9 8 18
W D D W W
6 10 5 3 2 12:5 7 18
D W D L W
7 10 5 2 3 16:13 3 17
W W W L L
8 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L L W W
9 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W W L W L
10 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
L W D D W
11 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W W L L
12 10 3 3 4 15:14 1 12
L W D W D
13 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
14 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
15 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
16 10 3 2 5 13:19 -6 11
L L D L L
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 10 3 1 6 13:17 -4 10
L W D W L
19 10 2 2 6 14:21 -7 8
L L L L L
20 10 1 4 5 11:13 -2 7
L L W D L
21 10 1 2 7 9:22 -13 5
L L D W D
22 10 0 1 9 6:22 -16 1
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation