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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
24.10.2026 12:00
Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 38.3%
Draw 14.8%
RED Star FC 93 Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.68
RED Star FC 931.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier Montpellier
WWDLW
27 GF / 15 GA
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montpellier Montpellier 14 matches
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 16 matches
Montpellier Statistic RED Star FC 93
9 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
27 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 21
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 5.22
13.44 Total Shots 14.22
5.44 Corners 6.11
57.6% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. RED Star FC 93 look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors RED Star FC 93. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Montpellier Analysis

Montpellier arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Pays (2 goals), T. Sainte-Luce (1 goals), N. Mukiele (1 goals), with creative support from T. Sainte-Luce (1 assists), N. Mukiele (1 assists), F. Tardieu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

RED Star FC 93 Analysis

RED Star FC 93 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 17 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 12:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Durand (5 goals), J. Ikanga A Ngele (4 goals), K. Cabral (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ikanga A Ngele (2 assists), K. Cabral (2 assists), I. Halifa (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 0 times, RED Star FC 93 won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Montpellier's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-2-3-1 / RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 0, draws 2, RED Star FC 93 wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 22:8 14 22
W W D L W
2 9 4 5 0 19:11 8 17
W D D W D
3 9 5 2 2 12:10 2 17
L W W W W
4 9 5 1 3 11:8 3 16
W W W L L
5 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W W W L D
7 9 3 4 2 15:13 2 13
W L D L W
8 9 4 1 4 11:11 0 13
L W L L W
9 9 3 3 3 16:16 0 12
L W W W D
10 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
W L L W D
11 9 2 5 2 7:9 -2 11
L D D W D
12 9 1 6 2 6:6 0 9
W D L D D
13 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L L W D
14 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W L
16 9 0 7 2 9:12 -3 7
D L D D D
17 8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
18 9 1 3 5 13:20 -7 6
D L D L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3