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AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Adelaide United
FT
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Coopers Stadium
Referee: L. Keevers
Adelaide United
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
C. Goodwin · Assist: J. Yull
Adelaide United
🟨
60'
Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🟨
62'
Panagiotis Kikianis
Adelaide United
🔄
67'
Anselmo ↔ J. Garuccio
Adelaide United
🔄
67'
A. Riak ↔ B. Burkitt
Adelaide United
🔄
67'
Clarismario ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
67'
N. Vergos ↔ J. Reec
Melbourne Victory
🔄
67'
N. Velupillay ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
VAR
70'
Ryan Kitto
Adelaide United
⚽
75'
M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
78'
D. Genreau ↔ R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
🟨
84'
Ryan White
Adelaide United
🟨
85'
Lachlan Jackson
Melbourne Victory
🟨
90+8'
Matthew Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🟨
90+3'
Juan Mata
Melbourne Victory
VAR
90'
Matthew Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
90+3'
J. Barnett ↔ P. Madanha
Adelaide United
🔄
90+3'
L. Duzel ↔ J. Muniz
Adelaide United
🔄
90+3'
J. Mata ↔ X. Stella
Melbourne Victory
⚽
90'
R. Kitto · Assist: J. Muniz
Adelaide United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Adelaide United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Adelaide United1.43
Melbourne Victory1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
5
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Adelaide United Adelaide United 12 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 12 matches
Adelaide United Statistic Melbourne Victory
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
18 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 16
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 6
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.08
11.75 Total Shots 16.33
5.5 Corners 5.58
51.9% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 3 times, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Adelaide United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Adelaide United 4-4-2 / Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Adelaide United wins 3, draws 5, Melbourne Victory wins 7
Stats
Adelaide United Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 11
6 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
476 Total passes 432
380 Passes accurate 327
1.68 expected_goals 2.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Adelaide United
Formation
Melbourne Victory
J. Smits
J. Smits
J. Barnett
↓
J. Barnett
B. Vriends
B. Vriends
P. Kikianis
P. Kikianis
R. Kitto
⚽
R. Kitto
J. Yull
🎯
J. Yull
R. White
R. White
L. Duzel
↓
L. Duzel
C. Goodwin
⚽
C. Goodwin
A. Riak
↓
A. Riak
Anselmo
↓
Anselmo
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Inserra
J. Inserra
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
L. Jackson
L. Jackson
A. Traore
A. Traore
L. D'Arrigo
L. D'Arrigo
D. Genreau
↓
D. Genreau
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
J. Mata
↓
J. Mata
Clarismario
↓
Clarismario
N. Vergos
↓
N. Vergos
Adelaide United 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
J. Smits
G
14
J. Barnett
↓ 90+3'
D
3
B. Vriends
D
4
P. Kikianis
🟨 62'
D
7
R. Kitto
⚽ 90'
D
12
J. Yull
🎯 6'
M
44
R. White
23
L. Duzel
↓ 90+3'
M
11
C. Goodwin
⚽ 6'
M
99
A. Riak
↓ 67'
F
87
Anselmo
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
40
E. Cox
G
36
P. Madanha
↑ 90+3'
F
52
S. Phillis
62
F. Talladira
M
10
J. Muniz
🎯 90' ↑ 90+3'
M
65
J. Garuccio
↑ 67'
M
35
B. Burkitt
↑ 67'
F
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
16
J. Inserra
D
15
S. Esposito
D
4
L. Jackson
🟨 85'
D
3
A. Traore
D
27
L. D'Arrigo
M
10
D. Genreau
↓ 78'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 67'
M
64
J. Mata
↓ 90+3' 🟨 90+3'
M
11
Clarismario
↓ 67' 🟨 60'
M
9
N. Vergos
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
7
R. Piscopo
↑ 78'
F
14
M. Grimaldi
⚽ 75' ↑ 67' 🟨 90+8'
F
19
J. Reec
↑ 67'
F
23
K. Jelacic
↑ 67'
F
28
K. Razmovski
D
34
X. Stella
↑ 90+3'
D
30
D. Graskoski
G
Last matches: Adelaide United
20.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
Playford City Patriots
2
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Adelaide United
The Cove
5
0
W
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
09.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
26.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
2
1
W
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
11.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
1
1
D
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
20.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
4
2
W
14.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
27.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
14.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
24.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
3
2
W
11.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
H2H: Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory
27.02.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
17.01.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
13.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
5
3
L
18.01.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
30.12.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
26.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
11.11.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
0
1
L
08.01.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
05.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
Last matches: Adelaide United
15.05.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
0
3
L
19.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
3
1
W
03.04.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Auckland
1
1
D
06.03.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
20.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
4
0
W
08.02.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Newcastle Jets
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Macarthur
1
1
D
04.01.26
A-L
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
0
4
L
27.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
07.12.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
21.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Melbourne City
4
1
W
07.11.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.10.25
A-L
Adelaide United
Sydney
2
1
W
H2H at home: Adelaide United
17.01.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
2
W
09.03.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
14.01.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
11.11.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
0
W
02.04.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
0
1
L
05.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
28.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
22.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
3
L
31.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
2
0
W
24.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
5
L
H2H away: Melbourne Victory
17.01.26
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
2
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
14.01.23
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
11.11.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
3
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
0
1
W
05.01.22
H2H
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United Home
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Away
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)