Adelaide United
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Adelaide United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Adelaide United1.43
Melbourne Victory1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Adelaide United
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Melbourne Victory
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
5
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.08
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Adelaide United
12 matches
Melbourne Victory
12 matches
| Adelaide United | Statistic | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 18 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.08 |
| 11.75 | Total Shots | 16.33 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5.58 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide United won 3 times, Melbourne Victory won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Adelaide United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Adelaide United 4-4-2 / Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Adelaide United wins 3, draws 5, Melbourne Victory wins 7
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Away
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)