Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AD Ceuta FC
41 matches
Malaga
41 matches
| AD Ceuta FC | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 49 | Goals For | 72 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 5.15 |
| 10.4 | Total Shots | 13.32 |
| 3.98 | Corners | 4.05 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Malaga's more proactive style and AD Ceuta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Malaga. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AD Ceuta FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Malaga in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malaga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
AD Ceuta FC sit 11 with 55 points after 39 league matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 47:59 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Fernandez Sanchez (13 goals), Kuki Zalazar (6 goals), Jamelli (5 goals), with creative support from Kuki Zalazar (4 assists), K. Kone (4 assists), Jose Matos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 4 place with 66 points from 39 games, Malaga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Chupe (21 goals), A. Nino (12 goals), David Larrubia (9 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Muñoz (6 assists), Chupe (4 assists), David Larrubia (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AD Ceuta FC won 1 times, Malaga won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from AD Ceuta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.
AD Ceuta FC
6
8
5
2
3
1
Lineups
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
Racing Santander
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Eibar
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Leganes
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Huesca
Malaga
Valladolid
Malaga
Granada CF
Malaga
Albacete
Malaga
Real Sociedad II
Malaga
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Zaragoza
Malaga
Eibar
Malaga
Almeria
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
FC Andorra
Malaga
Cadiz
Malaga
Granada CF
Malaga
Real Sociedad II
Malaga
Mirandes
Malaga
Cordoba
Malaga
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Albacete
Malaga
CF Talavera
Malaga
Valladolid
Malaga
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
Castellón
Malaga
Estepona
Malaga
Leganes
Malaga
Racing Santander
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Malaga
Away
|
42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
AD Ceuta FC
Home
|
42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|