Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AD Ceuta FC
40 matches
Castellón
39 matches
| AD Ceuta FC | Statistic | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 18 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 11 |
| 48 | Goals For | 65 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.59 | Shots On Goal | 5.03 |
| 10.46 | Total Shots | 14.49 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 6 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Castellón's more proactive style and AD Ceuta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AD Ceuta FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Castellón in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Castellón having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Castellón. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
AD Ceuta FC sit 11 with 54 points after 38 league matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 46:58 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Fernandez Sanchez (12 goals), Kuki Zalazar (6 goals), Jamelli (5 goals), with creative support from Kuki Zalazar (4 assists), K. Kone (4 assists), Jose Matos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Castellón come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 64 points after 38 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, with a 65:48 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Álex Calatrava (13 goals), O. Camara (11 goals), Fabrizio Brignani (6 goals), with creative support from B. Cipenga (9 assists), Álex Calatrava (7 assists), I. Suero (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, AD Ceuta FC won 0 times, Castellón won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from AD Ceuta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
AD Ceuta FC
4
5
2
10
2
3
Lineups
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Castellón
Sabadell
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Eibar
Castellón
Huesca
Castellón
Cadiz
Castellón
Cordoba
Castellón
Malaga
Castellón
Burgos
Castellón
Mirandes
Castellón
Granada CF
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Albacete
Castellón
Cultural Leonesa
Castellón
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
Racing Santander
Castellón
Las Palmas
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Castellón
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Huesca
Castellón
Malaga
Castellón
Mirandes
Castellón
Albacete
Castellón
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
Real Sociedad II
Castellón
Las Palmas
Castellón
Valladolid
Castellón
Zaragoza
Castellón
Granada CF
Castellón
Cadiz
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Castellón
FC Andorra
Castellón
Burgos
Castellón
Antoniano
Castellón
Almeria
Castellón
Eibar
Castellón
Leganes
Castellón
Cultural Leonesa
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Castellón
Away
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
AD Ceuta FC
Home
|
42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|