Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aberdeen
44 matches
ST Mirren
36 matches
| Aberdeen | Statistic | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 23 | Losses | 20 |
| 43 | Goals For | 27 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 20 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 11.81 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ST Mirren. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. ST Mirren arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 2 place with 40 points from 36 games, Aberdeen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, together with goals at 38:50, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kevin Nisbet (9 goals), J. Karlsson (5 goals), Marko Lazetić (4 goals), with creative support from Stuart Armstrong (5 assists), Topi Keskinen (3 assists), T. Olusanya (2 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
ST Mirren approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 30 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 27:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Freckleton (5 goals), Alexander Gogić (4 goals), M. Mandron (4 goals), with creative support from D. John (5 assists), M. Mandron (4 assists), S. Tanser (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen won 4 times, ST Mirren won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Aberdeen's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Aberdeen
Home
|
33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
ST Mirren
Away
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|