SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
Pittodrie Stadium
Referee: J. Beaton
Aberdeen
Match Timeline
Kilmarnock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Chris Cadden
Aberdeen
🟨
38'
Aaron Tshibola
Kilmarnock
🟨
43'
Tom Lowery
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
T. Yogane ↔ M. Knoester
Aberdeen
🔄
46'
K. Nisbet ↔ T. Olusanya
Aberdeen
🔄
46'
M. Ntelo ↔ A. Mouloua
Aberdeen
🟨
52'
Ayoub Mouloua
Aberdeen
🟨
62'
Mats Knoester
Aberdeen
🔄
62'
L. Smith ↔ F. Marshall
Aberdeen
🔄
62'
D. Daniels ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
🔄
74'
N. Guinness-Walker ↔ G. Molloy
Aberdeen
🟨
75'
Lewis Mayo
Aberdeen
🔄
76'
E. Ring ↔ T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🟨
82'
Aaron Tshibola
Kilmarnock
🟥
82'
Aaron Tshibola
Kilmarnock
🔄
84'
G. Kiltie ↔ M. O'Hara
Kilmarnock
🟨
88'
Stuart Armstrong
Aberdeen

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds 4.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.8%
4.80
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.6%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Aberdeen Win 40.5%
Draw 3.7%
Kilmarnock Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aberdeen1.67
Kilmarnock1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aberdeen Aberdeen
WWDLW
8 GF / 14 GA
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WLDWL
11 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
5
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aberdeen Aberdeen 8 matches
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 6 matches
Aberdeen Statistic Kilmarnock
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
5 Losses 4
8 Goals For 11
14 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
9.75 Total Shots 10.5
4.75 Corners 4.5
45.5% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen won 9 times, Kilmarnock won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Aberdeen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Aberdeen 4-1-3-2 / Kilmarnock 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Aberdeen wins 9, draws 0, Kilmarnock wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 7:4 3 13
W W W W L
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
4 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L L W D W
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 6 2 1 3 8:9 -1 7
L W D L L
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)