BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Match Timeline
Operario Ferroviario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
Kadu
ABECAT Ouvidorense
81'
Juliano
ABECAT Ouvidorense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABECAT Ouvidorense Win 4.1%
Draw 18.7%
Operario Ferroviario Win 77.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABECAT Ouvidorense0.71
Operario Ferroviario0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense
WWDLW
3 GF / 8 GA
Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.43
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense 7 matches
Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario 7 matches
ABECAT Ouvidorense Statistic Operario Ferroviario
0 Wins 1
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
3 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 8
0.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Operario Ferroviario. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Operario Ferroviario having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Operario Ferroviario arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

ABECAT Ouvidorense Analysis

So far, ABECAT Ouvidorense have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 3 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 3:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Operario Ferroviario Analysis

Operario Ferroviario sit 5 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luisinho (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, ABECAT Ouvidorense won 1 times, Operario Ferroviario won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from ABECAT Ouvidorense's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (95.9%)
H2H summary: ABECAT Ouvidorense wins 1, draws 1, Operario Ferroviario wins 0
Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense
14.06.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ivinhema
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ivinhema
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
0
1
L
Last matches: Operario Ferroviario
14.06.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cianorte
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Monte Azul
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
1
5
L
31.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
H2H: ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Operario Ferroviario
23.05.26
H2H
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
Operario Ferroviario
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense
30.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ivinhema
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
0
1
L
H2H at home: ABECAT Ouvidorense
23.05.26
H2H
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
Last matches: Operario Ferroviario
14.06.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ipatinga
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Ivinhema
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
CRAC
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Monte Azul
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Itabirito
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Inter De Limeira
1
5
L
24.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cascavel
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Uberlandia
3
2
W
19.04.25
Ser
Operario Ferroviario
Cianorte
0
1
L
H2H away: Operario Ferroviario
23.05.26
H2H
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
L