BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 54.2%
Draw 9.5%
Águia de Marabá Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.26
Águia de Marabá1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
18 GF / 9 GA
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá
WLDWL
25 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.92
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 13 matches
Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 13 matches
ABC Statistic Águia de Marabá
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
18 Goals For 25
9 Goals Against 14
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Águia de Marabá have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving ABC needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Águia de Marabá. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Águia de Marabá having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

ABC Analysis

ABC enter this tie with a season profile built on 23 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Águia de Marabá Analysis

Águia de Marabá come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 18 points from 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 20:11 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Last matches: ABC
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
04.07.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
ABC
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
5
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
4
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
05.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
6
0
W
Last matches: ABC
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
Last matches: Águia de Marabá
21.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Parnahyba
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Imperatriz
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Oratório
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
27.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
GAS
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manaus FC
3
3
D
29.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Trem
1
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Humaitá
3
1
W
11.05.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Manauara
0
0
D
27.04.25
Ser
Águia de Marabá
Independência
2
0
W

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)