BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABB Win 59.4%
Draw 13.1%
Guabirá Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABB1.93
Guabirá1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABB ABB
WWDLW
27 GF / 32 GA
Guabirá Guabirá
WLDWL
26 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.73
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
14
2.15
Shots on Goal
1.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABB ABB 15 matches
Guabirá Guabirá 15 matches
ABB Statistic Guabirá
6 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 26
32 Goals Against 32
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
14 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
2.15 Shots On Goal 1.46
6.31 Total Shots 4.77
2.46 Corners 1.46
17.8% Ball Possession 14.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guabirá. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ABB expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Guabirá in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guabirá having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ABB have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

ABB Analysis

ABB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 12 points from 11 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:26, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guabirá Analysis

So far, Guabirá have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, ABB won 0 times, Guabirá won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from ABB's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: ABB 4-4-2 / Guabirá 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: ABB wins 0, draws 1, Guabirá wins 1
Last matches: ABB
04.08.26
Pri
ABB
Real Oruro
4
1
W
31.07.26
Pri
ABB
Real Tomayapo
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
ABB
Aurora
2
3
L
20.07.26
Pri
ABB
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
16.07.26
Pri
ABB
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
09.07.26
Pri
ABB
Real Potosí
1
3
L
30.05.26
Pri
ABB
Always Ready
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
ABB
Oriente Petrolero
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
ABB
The Strongest
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
ABB
Blooming
3
2
W
21.04.26
Pri
ABB
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
11.04.26
Pri
ABB
Bolívar
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
ABB
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
ABB
Real Oruro
1
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
ABB
Real Oruro
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
ABB
CD IN San Juan FC
2
0
W
21.12.25
Pri
ABB
CD IN San Juan FC
1
3
L
15.12.25
Pri
ABB
Aurora
2
3
L
11.12.25
Pri
ABB
Oriente Petrolero
5
2
W
08.12.25
Pri
ABB
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
Last matches: Guabirá
05.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
4
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
07.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
6
3
W
02.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
H2H: ABB vs Guabirá
30.09.25
H2H
Guabirá
ABB
5
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
ABB
Guabirá
1
1
D
Last matches: ABB
04.08.26
Pri
ABB
Real Oruro
4
1
W
16.07.26
Pri
ABB
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
ABB
Always Ready
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
ABB
Oriente Petrolero
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
ABB
Blooming
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
ABB
Bolívar
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
ABB
Real Oruro
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
ABB
CD IN San Juan FC
2
0
W
11.12.25
Pri
ABB
Oriente Petrolero
5
2
W
29.11.25
Pri
ABB
Always Ready
0
7
L
02.11.25
Pri
ABB
The Strongest
1
2
L
25.09.25
Pri
ABB
Universitario de Vinto
2
0
W
17.09.25
Pri
ABB
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
ABB
Jorge Wilstermann
0
0
D
08.08.25
Pri
ABB
Real Oruro
1
2
L
29.07.25
Pri
ABB
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
19.07.25
Pri
ABB
Aurora
2
1
W
07.07.25
Pri
ABB
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
30.06.25
Pri
ABB
Blooming
1
1
D
16.05.25
Pri
ABB
Guabirá
1
1
D
H2H at home: ABB
16.05.25
H2H
ABB
Guabirá
1
1
D
Last matches: Guabirá
31.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
02.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
3
L
03.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
0
4
L
17.10.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
6
3
W
13.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
0
W
21.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
2
L
08.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
20.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
4
L
14.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
16.05.25
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
1
D
H2H away: Guabirá
16.05.25
H2H
ABB
Guabirá
1
1
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 2 1 28:6 22 29
W W W W W
2 13 7 6 0 20:12 8 27
W D D D W
3 13 7 3 3 28:13 15 24
W L W W D
4 13 5 7 1 21:15 6 22
D D W D L
5 13 5 3 5 22:26 -4 18
W D W L W
6 12 4 5 3 17:10 7 17
D L W W D
7 12 4 5 3 17:14 3 17
L D W D W
8 13 5 2 6 17:18 -1 17
L W W D L
9 13 4 4 5 19:20 -1 16
D W L L L
10
ABB Home
13 5 1 7 24:28 -4 16
W D L L W
11 13 4 3 6 19:19 0 15
L L W L D
12 13 4 2 7 15:23 -8 14
D W L W L
13 13 4 2 7 23:34 -11 14
L L L W L
14 13 2 6 5 12:18 -6 12
D D W D D
15 12 3 2 7 17:23 -6 11
D L L L L
16 13 2 3 8 9:29 -20 9
L D L L W