Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.1%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.13 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Aalesund
Molde
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aalesund
19 matches
Molde
20 matches
| Aalesund | Statistic | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 34 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 4.45 |
| 14.64 | Total Shots | 12.45 |
| 4.55 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 42.6% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Molde's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Molde in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Molde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 19 points while Aalesund sit 13 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Aalesund sit 13 with 11 points after 11 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (3 goals), M. Christensen (2 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 19 points from 11 games, Molde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Breivik (6 goals), Eirik Hestad (4 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (4 goals), with creative support from Sondre Milian Granaas (2 assists), S. Hansen (2 assists), E. Breivik (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 2 times, Molde won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:32 from Aalesund's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.
Aalesund
3
8
1
7
3
5
Lineups
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Sirius
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Molde
Rosenborg
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
KFUM Oslo
Molde
Sandefjord
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Kristiansund BK
Molde
Tromso
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
Valerenga
Molde
Start
Molde
Ham-Kam
Molde
Lillestrom
Molde
Viking
Molde
Rosenborg
Molde
Aalesund
Molde
Viking
Molde
Brattvåg
Molde
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Molde
Kristiansund BK
Molde
Træff
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Molde
Rosenborg
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Tromso
Molde
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
Start
Molde
Viking
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29:11 | 18 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30:11 | 19 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Molde
Away
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 16 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 14 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Aalesund
Home
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
L
|