DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Aalborg Portland Park
Referee: P. Gammelholm
Aalborg
Match Timeline
Middelfart
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Akale · Assist: B. Zjajo
Middelfart
🟨
15'
L. Thomsen
Middelfart
🔄
40'
R. Kakeeto ↔ N. Juul-Sandberg
Middelfart
🔄
46'
M. Kaasa ↔ A. Jasson
Aalborg
🟨
59'
M. Kubel
Aalborg
🔄
60'
J. Adedeji ↔ K. John
Aalborg
63'
A. Akale · Assist: J. Villemoes
Middelfart
🔄
68'
V. Moller ↔ W. Thomsen
Aalborg
🔄
71'
A. Akale ↔ M. Boesen
Middelfart
🔄
71'
J. Villemoes ↔ M. Hansen
Middelfart
76'
B. Zjajo · Assist: N. Juul-Sandberg
Middelfart
🔄
78'
V. Hegelund ↔ M. Greve
Middelfart
🔄
78'
B. Zjajo ↔ M. Praest
Middelfart
🔄
79'
M. Kubel ↔ F. Borsting
Aalborg
🔄
79'
A. Andersson ↔ A. Maarup
Aalborg
🟨
90+1'
M. Hansen
Middelfart
🟨
90+2'
S. Pedersen
Middelfart
90'
W. Thomsen · Assist: K. John
Aalborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalborg Win 100%
Draw 0%
Middelfart Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalborg1.94
Middelfart1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalborg Aalborg
WWDLW
47 GF / 38 GA
Middelfart Middelfart
WLDWL
25 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
2.32
16
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalborg Aalborg 28 matches
Middelfart Middelfart 28 matches
Aalborg Statistic Middelfart
11 Wins 2
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 20
47 Goals For 25
38 Goals Against 65
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 2.32
16 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Aalborg's more proactive style and Middelfart's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Middelfart. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Middelfart having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Middelfart arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Aalborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 42 points compared to Middelfart in 6 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Aalborg Analysis

Aalborg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 42 points after 28 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 47:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on N. Helenius (10 goals), K. Hansen (9 goals), K. John (7 goals), with creative support from M. Nielsen (6 assists), K. John (4 assists), V. Moller (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Middelfart Analysis

Middelfart sit 6 with 12 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 25:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Boesen (6 goals), J. Wielzen (5 goals), A. Akale (3 goals), with creative support from S. Pedersen (3 assists), J. Vetter (2 assists), M. Boesen (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg won 5 times, Middelfart won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from Aalborg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Aalborg wins 5, draws 0, Middelfart wins 1

Lineups

Middelfart
Formation
Aalborg
C. Radza
C. Radza
J. Wielzen
J. Wielzen
J. Linnet
J. Linnet
L. Thomsen
L. Thomsen
V. Hegelund
V. Hegelund
S. Pedersen
S. Pedersen
B. Zjajo
🎯
B. Zjajo
R. Koch
R. Koch
R. Kakeeto
R. Kakeeto
J. Villemoes
🎯
J. Villemoes
A. Akale
⚽ 2
A. Akale
B. Gronkjaer
B. Gronkjaer
A. Andersson
A. Andersson
C. Olsson
C. Olsson
N. Arnorsson
N. Arnorsson
M. Nielsen
M. Nielsen
M. Kubel
M. Kubel
M. Kaasa
M. Kaasa
A. Hapnes
A. Hapnes
V. Moller
V. Moller
K. Hansen
K. Hansen
J. Adedeji
J. Adedeji
Middelfart 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Radza
18
J. Wielzen
7
J. Linnet
12
L. Thomsen
🟨 15'
28
V. Hegelund
↓ 78'
25
S. Pedersen
🟨 90+2'
5
B. Zjajo
⚽ 76' 🎯 11' ↓ 78'
20
R. Koch
6
R. Kakeeto
↓ 40'
11
J. Villemoes
🎯 63' ↓ 71'
10
A. Akale
⚽ 11' ⚽ 63' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
16
J. Hutters
9
M. Boesen
↑ 71'
21
E. Andersen
15
M. Nielsen
17
M. Greve
↑ 78'
8
M. Praest
↑ 78'
27
M. Hansen
↑ 71' 🟨 90+1'
26
N. Juul-Sandberg
🎯 76' ↑ 40'
2
P. Matiebel
Aalborg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
B. Gronkjaer
3
A. Andersson
↓ 79'
15
C. Olsson
24
N. Arnorsson
5
M. Nielsen
14
M. Kubel
↓ 79' 🟨 59'
23
M. Kaasa
↓ 46'
8
A. Hapnes
28
V. Moller
↓ 68'
11
K. Hansen
7
J. Adedeji
↓ 60'
Substitutes
1
V. Muller
25
F. Borsting
↑ 79'
27
K. John
🎯 90' ↑ 60'
17
A. Jasson
↑ 46'
18
A. Maarup
↑ 79'
35
E. Amankwah
26
M. Bonde
32
C. Tcacenco
44
W. Thomsen
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
Last matches: Aalborg
24.07.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Silkeborg
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Randers FC
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Viborg
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
5
L
15.05.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
26.04.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
1
D
23.04.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
3
1
W
10.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
5
2
W
21.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Esbjerg
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
0
1
L
06.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Sandefjord
0
4
L
16.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Thisted FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Middelfart
25.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
Næsby
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
VSK Århus
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
Brabrand
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
Hobro
0
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
2
4
L
16.05.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
1
2
L
22.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
5
L
18.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
6
L
10.04.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
2
5
L
21.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
1
L
13.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
1
4
L
07.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Vysočina Jihlava
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Corvinul Hunedoara
0
3
L
H2H: Aalborg vs Middelfart
08.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
1
3
L
04.04.26
H2H
Middelfart
Aalborg
2
5
W
01.11.25
H2H
Middelfart
Aalborg
1
2
W
14.09.25
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
4
0
W
09.11.22
H2H
Middelfart
Aalborg
1
2
W
20.09.17
H2H
Middelfart
Aalborg
0
2
W
Last matches: Aalborg
24.07.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Silkeborg
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Randers FC
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Aalborg
Viborg
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
23.04.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
3
1
W
21.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Esbjerg
1
1
D
06.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
3
3
D
16.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Thisted FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Skive
3
2
W
22.11.25
1.
Aalborg
Kolding IF
0
3
L
25.10.25
1.
Aalborg
Lyngby
3
2
W
02.10.25
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
2
1
W
21.09.25
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
0
W
14.09.25
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
4
0
W
22.08.25
1.
Aalborg
Hvidovre
4
0
W
H2H at home: Aalborg
08.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
1
3
L
14.09.25
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
4
0
W
Last matches: Middelfart
25.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
Næsby
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Middelfart
Hobro
0
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
2
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
1
2
L
22.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
5
L
10.04.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
2
L
13.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
1
4
L
28.02.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Silkeborg
2
8
L
29.11.25
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
1
W
10.11.25
1.
Middelfart
Esbjerg
2
4
L
24.10.25
1.
Middelfart
Kolding IF
0
1
L
27.09.25
1.
Middelfart
B 93
0
1
L
14.09.25
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
0
4
L
19.08.25
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
2
2
D
09.08.25
1.
Middelfart
AC Horsens
0
2
L
27.07.25
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
0
D
19.07.25
1.
Middelfart
Hillerød
1
2
L
H2H away: Middelfart
08.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
1
3
W
14.09.25
H2H
Aalborg
Middelfart
4
0
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round