Santos vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.2%
|
1.79 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
74.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.7%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Santos
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
29 matches
Flamengo
41 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 27 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 4 |
| 46 | Goals For | 82 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.07 | Shots On Goal | 5.73 |
| 13.32 | Total Shots | 15.76 |
| 5.36 | Corners | 5.05 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 56.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Flamengo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 60 points while Santos sit 8 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Santos sit 8 with 41 points after 28 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:41 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Barbosa (13 goals), Neymar (6 goals), B. Rollheiser (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (3 assists), Neymar (2 assists), B. Rollheiser (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without Gabriel Brazao, Vinicius Lira, Neymar, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Operating from 1 place with 60 points from 28 games, Flamengo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 55:23 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Pedro (15 goals), Samuel Lino (9 goals), J. Carrascal (5 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), J. Carrascal (7 assists), Pedro (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Ayrton Lucas, Evertton Araujo, G. de Arrascaeta unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 4 times, Flamengo won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Santos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Away
|
29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Santos
Home
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|