BRAZIL SERIE B
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Referee: L. Bellote

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 3.13
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
3.13
BTTS BTTS Yes
50%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 11.3%
Draw 15.4%
Atletico Goianiense Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.73
Atletico Goianiense1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
6 GF / 22 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
0.91
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
4
4.55
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 11 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 11 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Atletico Goianiense
0 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
6 Goals For 10
22 Goals Against 11
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
4.55 Shots On Goal 3.73
13.36 Total Shots 13.36
6.36 Corners 6.18
56.4% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Goianiense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 14 with 13 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Goianiense.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 20 with 3 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 6:22 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), F. Elizari (1 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), Matías Segovia (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (3 goals), Guilherme (2 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 4 times, Atletico Goianiense won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from America Mineiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 4, draws 7, Atletico Goianiense wins 4
Last matches: America Mineiro
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H: America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense
26.09.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
1
0
L
27.05.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
13.11.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
0
1
W
17.11.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
01.08.21
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
1
1
D
25.10.19
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
2
D
26.07.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
18.09.15
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
1
1
D
20.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
03.10.14
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
28.05.14
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
3
0
L
16.11.13
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
24.08.13
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.12.11
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
5
1
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
H2H at home: America Mineiro
27.05.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
13.11.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
17.11.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.07.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
20.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
03.10.14
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.11.13
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico Goianiense
27.05.25
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
13.11.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
17.11.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.07.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W
20.06.15
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
L
03.10.14
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.11.13
H2H
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.13
Draw 3.10
Home 2.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.00
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.85
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.51
Over 3.5 4.84
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 1.75 2.31
Under 2.0 1.96
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.20
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.95
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.08
Draw 3.04
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.02
Draw 1.90
Home 3.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.17
Home 2.77
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.57
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.47
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.85
Over 3.25 4.19
Over 3.5 4.60
Over 3.75 5.90
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.65
Under 0.75 5.95
Under 1.0 5.30
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 1.75 2.18
Under 2.0 1.86
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 2.75 1.34
Under 3.0 1.20
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.05
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.00
Home 3.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.32
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.77
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.75
Over 3.5 4.60
Over 4.5 9.50
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 1.75 2.35
Under 2.0 2.00
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.25
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 6 4 1 15:7 8 22
W W L W W
2 11 6 4 1 17:11 6 22
W W W L D
3 11 6 3 2 17:8 9 21
D W D W W
4 12 5 5 2 14:10 4 20
W W D D D
5 11 6 1 4 16:11 5 19
L W W W D
6 12 5 4 3 14:15 -1 19
W W D L L
7 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W L D W
8 11 5 2 4 12:13 -1 17
D W W W L
9 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
D W D W D
10 11 4 5 2 13:11 2 17
W W D D D
11 12 4 4 4 10:8 2 16
L W L D D
12 11 4 2 5 17:17 0 14
L W W W W
13 11 3 4 4 12:13 -1 13
L L W L L
14 11 3 4 4 10:11 -1 13
D L D W D
15 11 2 7 2 6:5 1 13
W L D D D
16 11 2 4 5 11:11 0 10
D L L L D
17 11 2 4 5 11:15 -4 10
L L L D D
18 12 2 2 8 12:20 -8 8
L L L W L
19 11 2 2 7 9:20 -11 8
D L L L L
20 11 0 3 8 6:22 -16 3
L L D L L