BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
City Stadium
Niva
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
M. Pashkevich · Assist: N. Vekhtev
Orsha
19'
P. Pampukha · Assist: V. Dybin
Niva
🟨
36'
I. Berezun
Orsha
🔄
46'
D. Galuza ↔ D. Fedortsov
Niva
🔄
60'
V. Dybin ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🔄
60'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Shubovich
Niva
🔄
65'
Y. Kulesh ↔ N. Bobchenok
Orsha
🔄
75'
N. Leshkevich ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
🟨
77'
V. Shalychev
Orsha
🔄
88'
R. Kozel ↔ A. Voronovich
Niva
🔄
90+4'
G. Zheleznikov ↔ Y. Komarov
Orsha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 73%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS Yes
73%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 51.2%
Draw 16.7%
Orsha Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva1.71
Orsha1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
19 GF / 22 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
8
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 12 matches
Orsha Orsha 10 matches
Niva Statistic Orsha
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 8
22 Goals Against 19
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Niva's more proactive style and Orsha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orsha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Niva Analysis

Niva sit 9 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fedortsov (6 goals), P. Pampukha (3 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), D. Sibilev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Orsha Analysis

So far, Orsha have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 8:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on M. Pashkevich (2 goals), N. Tarbyakov (2 goals), D. Tikhomirov (1 goals), with creative support from N. Vekhtev (2 assists), I. Ageev (1 assists), P. Bordukov (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 4 times, Orsha won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:9 from Niva's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 4, draws 3, Orsha wins 0

Lineups

Niva
Formation
Orsha
N. Dovnar
N. Dovnar
V. Bondarenko
V. Bondarenko
R. Kozel
R. Kozel
A. Tkhagalegov
A. Tkhagalegov
P. Pampukha
P. Pampukha
N. Leshkevich
N. Leshkevich
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
V. Dybin
🎯
V. Dybin
A. Kuratnik
A. Kuratnik
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
D. Galuza
D. Galuza
A. Volodkov
A. Volodkov
P. Bordukov
P. Bordukov
V. Shalychev
V. Shalychev
G. Zheleznikov
G. Zheleznikov
N. Vekhtev
🎯
N. Vekhtev
N. Volchenko
N. Volchenko
Y. Kulesh
Y. Kulesh
M. Pashkevich
M. Pashkevich
D. Stain
D. Stain
I. Berezun
I. Berezun
N. Tarbyakov
N. Tarbyakov
Niva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Dovnar
99
V. Bondarenko
88
R. Kozel
↓ 88'
41
A. Tkhagalegov
29
P. Pampukha
⚽ 19'
21
N. Leshkevich
↓ 75'
18
V. Shcherbo
10
V. Dybin
🎯 19' ↓ 60'
9
A. Kuratnik
↓ 60'
8
D. Sibilev
7
D. Galuza
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
R. Belov
35
D. Kashtelyan
3
M. Druchik
20
A. Martysevich
23
D. Fedortsov
↑ 46'
47
V. Skomarovskiy
↑ 60'
69
E. Mashagin
↑ 75'
77
V. Shubovich
↑ 60'
91
A. Voronovich
↑ 88'
Orsha 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Volodkov
93
P. Bordukov
82
V. Shalychev
🟨 77'
77
G. Zheleznikov
↓ 90+4'
19
N. Vekhtev
🎯 4'
18
N. Volchenko
17
Y. Kulesh
↓ 65'
16
M. Pashkevich
⚽ 4'
11
D. Stain
8
I. Berezun
🟨 36'
5
N. Tarbyakov
Substitutes
52
R. Kravchenko
7
N. Bobchenok
↑ 65'
9
D. Tikhomirov
14
A. Dambrovsky
69
S. Bulakhov
80
Y. Komarov
↑ 90+4'
88
D. Rudenok
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H: Niva vs Orsha
07.06.26
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Orsha
Niva
1
4
W
13.04.25
H2H
Niva
Orsha
2
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Orsha
Niva
3
5
W
25.11.23
H2H
Niva
Orsha
3
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
Last matches: Niva
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Niva
07.06.26
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
13.04.25
H2H
Niva
Orsha
2
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Niva
Orsha
3
1
W
Last matches: Orsha
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H away: Orsha
07.06.26
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
13.04.25
H2H
Niva
Orsha
2
1
L
17.08.24
H2H
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Niva
Orsha
3
1
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5
Niva Home
15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13
Orsha Away
14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation