ITALY › SERIE A
11.01.2026 14:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
Fiorentina
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Moise Kean
Fiorentina
🟨
53'
Pervis Estupiñán
AC Milan
🔄
60'
N. Fullkrug ↔ R. Leao
AC Milan
🔄
60'
A. Jashari ↔ A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
60'
P. Estupinan ↔ D. Bartesaghi
AC Milan
🔄
63'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
65'
R. Mandragora ↔ M. Brescianini
Fiorentina
⚽
66'
P. Comuzzo · Assist: A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🔄
74'
S. Pavlovic ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🟨
80'
Nicolò Fagioli
Fiorentina
🔄
82'
A. Gudmundsson ↔ M. Solomon
Fiorentina
🔄
83'
R. Gosens ↔ L. Ranieri
Fiorentina
🔄
83'
F. Parisi ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
🟨
84'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🟨
90+4'
Youssouf Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
90+1'
C. Ndour ↔ S. Sohm
Fiorentina
⚽
90'
C. Nkunku · Assist: Y. Fofana
AC Milan

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Fiorentina Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina1.06
AC Milan1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WWDLW
34 GF / 37 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
34 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
15
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
10
3.85
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fiorentina Fiorentina 27 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 22 matches
Fiorentina Statistic AC Milan
7 Wins 13
7 Draws 6
13 Losses 3
34 Goals For 34
37 Goals Against 17
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
15 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 3
3.85 Shots On Goal 4.91
13.67 Total Shots 14.91
4.78 Corners 5.27
52.9% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 4 times, AC Milan won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Fiorentina's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 4, draws 3, AC Milan wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B