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27.09.2026 00:30
Lumen Field
Referee: N. Bensalah
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
J. Morris · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🟨
28'
Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
Minnesota United FC
⚽
35'
H. Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🔄
46'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
⚽
57'
A. Markanich · Assist: B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🟨
58'
Owen Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
59'
C. Clark ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
59'
D. Musovski ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🟨
71'
Hassani Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🔄
78'
M. Caldeira ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
⚽
83'
P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
84'
A. Rusnak ↔ Y. Gomez Andrade
Seattle Sounders
🔄
84'
Nouhou ↔ K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🔄
84'
T. Chancalay ↔ A. Jackson
Minnesota United FC
🔄
84'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Malone
Minnesota United FC
🟨
86'
stuar hawkins
Seattle Sounders
🔄
90'
J. Morris ↔ S. Brunell
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
84.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 15.8%
Draw 33.6%
Minnesota United FC Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.52
Minnesota United FC1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
W D D D D
8 GF / 6 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
L L L L D
12 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
18
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
18
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 29 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Minnesota United FC
14 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
11 Losses 12
47 Goals For 43
42 Goals Against 48
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
18 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 6
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.92
13.1 Total Shots 13.46
4.69 Corners 5.38
49.9% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minnesota United FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Minnesota United FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 14 with 28 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:30 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Rothrock (3 goals), A. Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (5 assists), J. Morris (3 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 29 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 37:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kelvin Yeboah (10 goals), Anthony Markanich (6 goals), Marcus Caldeira (4 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (7 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), Kelvin Yeboah (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 8 times, Minnesota United FC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 5, Minnesota United FC 5
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 8, draws 4, Minnesota United FC wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 33 15 10 8 59:50 9 55
D L W D W
3 33 14 10 9 56:48 8 52
W D L D D
4 33 14 9 10 58:48 10 51
L L L L D
5 33 14 9 10 43:42 1 51
L W D D D
6 33 12 11 10 51:38 13 47
L D D W D
7 33 11 11 11 49:55 -6 44
W D D W L
8 33 12 7 14 60:61 -1 43
W W W D L
9 33 12 7 14 46:47 -1 43
L D W D D
10 33 11 10 12 42:45 -3 43
L L D D L
11 33 12 6 15 51:51 0 42
L W W W D
12 33 10 11 12 53:57 -4 41
W W D W D
13 33 9 11 13 57:62 -5 38
W L D D D
14 33 8 10 15 42:63 -21 34
L L W L L
15 33 6 5 22 39:81 -42 23
D L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)