🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
27.09.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 71.1%
Draw 5.8%
Los Angeles FC Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.56
Los Angeles FC1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
57 GF / 44 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WLDWL
66 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
18
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
21
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 30 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 39 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Los Angeles FC
14 Wins 18
9 Draws 12
7 Losses 9
57 Goals For 66
44 Goals Against 41
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
18 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 29
21 Over 2.5 21
14 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 6
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.69
11.96 Total Shots 13.66
4.5 Corners 6.03
42% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Los Angeles FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Los Angeles FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Los Angeles FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 43 points after 25 outings. With 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:42, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Petar Musa (11 goals), Santiago Moreno (4 goals), Logan Farrington (4 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Valiente (5 assists), Petar Musa (4 assists), Santiago Moreno (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

So far, Los Angeles FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 40 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 41:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Denis Bouanga (12 goals), Son Heung-min (5 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (8 assists), Denis Bouanga (3 assists), Jacob Shaffelburg (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 4 times, Los Angeles FC won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from FC Dallas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 4, draws 3, Los Angeles FC wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)