BRAZIL › SERIE A
11.03.2026 23:00
Arena Fonte Nova
Referee: R. Klein
Bahia
Match Timeline
Vitoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Lucas Arcanjo
Vitoria
⚽
5'
Willian José
Bahia
VAR
7'
Luciano Juba
Bahia
🟨
35'
Santiago Ramos Mingo
Bahia
⚽
45'
Ramon
Vitoria
⚽
45'
Jean Lucas · Assist: Willian Jose
Bahia
🔄
46'
Renato Kayzer ↔ Fabricio
Vitoria
🔄
61'
Erick Pulga ↔ M. Sanabria
Bahia
🔄
61'
Marinho ↔ Erick
Vitoria
🔄
62'
Willian Jose ↔ Everaldo
Bahia
🔄
71'
Matheuzinho ↔ A. Cantalapiedra
Vitoria
🔄
71'
Edu ↔ Camutanga
Vitoria
🔄
74'
C. Olivera ↔ Ademir
Bahia
🔄
74'
Erick ↔ Michel Araujo
Bahia
🔄
89'
Rodrigo ↔ David Martins
Bahia
🔄
90+6'
Ramon ↔ Jamerson
Vitoria

Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitoria Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.65
Vitoria1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Vitoria Vitoria
WLDWL
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 5 matches
Vitoria Vitoria 3 matches
Bahia Statistic Vitoria
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
6 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 7
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.67
11.8 Total Shots 13
5.2 Corners 5
51.2% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 7 times, Vitoria won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Bahia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Vitoria 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bahia wins 7, draws 5, Vitoria wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5
Bahia Home
28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B