ITALY › SERIE A
30.11.2025 17:00
New Balance Arena
Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
41'
O. Kossounou · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
⚽
52'
A. Lookman
Atalanta
🟨
59'
Marin Pongračić
Fiorentina
🔄
64'
Dodo ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
🔄
64'
N. Fagioli ↔ A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🔄
67'
Ederson ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta
🔄
67'
D. Zappacosta ↔ N. Zalewski
Atalanta
🟨
69'
Pablo Marí
Fiorentina
🟨
71'
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
75'
P. Mari ↔ P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
🔄
77'
A. Lookman ↔ K. Sulemana
Atalanta
🔄
77'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
79'
S. Sohm ↔ C. Ndour
Fiorentina
🔄
80'
R. Piccoli ↔ A. Richardson
Fiorentina
🟨
84'
Isak Hien
Atalanta
🔄
86'
I. Hien ↔ S. Kolasinac
Atalanta

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.24
Fiorentina1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
20 GF / 19 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 17 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 18 matches
Atalanta Statistic Fiorentina
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 6
4 Losses 8
20 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 24
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.33
14.82 Total Shots 12.28
5.47 Corners 4.78
54.2% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 6 times, Fiorentina won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Atalanta's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 / Fiorentina 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 6, draws 2, Fiorentina wins 7

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B