ITALY › SERIE A
29.11.2025 19:45
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lazio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Fikayo Tomori
AC Milan
⚽
51'
R. Leao · Assist: F. Tomori
AC Milan
🟨
57'
Luca Pellegrini
Lazio
🔄
62'
M. Vecino ↔ F. Dele-Bashiru
Lazio
🔄
62'
B. Dia ↔ T. Castellanos
Lazio
🟨
64'
Matteo Gabbia
AC Milan
🔄
65'
Y. Fofana ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan
🔄
70'
G. Isaksen ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🟨
72'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio
🔄
82'
C. Nkunku ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
85'
L. Pellegrini ↔ N. Tavares
Lazio
🔄
85'
T. Basic ↔ T. Noslin
Lazio
🟨
89'
Samuele Ricci
AC Milan
🟨
90+14'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Lazio
🟨
90+13'
Mattia Zaccagni
Lazio
VAR
90+7'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio

AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lazio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.28
Lazio1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
23 GF / 9 GA
Lazio Lazio
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
1
7
Over 2.5
3
5.07
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 14 matches
Lazio Lazio 12 matches
AC Milan Statistic Lazio
9 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
23 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 9
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 1
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 6
5.07 Shots On Goal 4.08
14.64 Total Shots 10.92
5.14 Corners 3.42
53.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 9 times, Lazio won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from AC Milan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Lazio 4-3-3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 9, draws 1, Lazio wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Away
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B