BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
18.09.2026 18:00
Stadion Grbavica
Referee: M. Kazlagic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Match Timeline
Čelik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
S. Radovac ↔ D. Milosevic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
39'
A. Hrvanovic
Čelik
🔄
53'
B. Nastic ↔ J. Freeman
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
54'
R. Piloto ↔ M. Huskovic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
58'
O. Sarkic
Čelik
🔄
64'
E. Dragovic ↔ A. Korora
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
64'
G. Cunha ↔ A. Gojak
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
76'
N. Smajlovic ↔ M. Popovic
Čelik
80'
A. Pejic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
83'
F. Gogic
Čelik
🔄
83'
A. Masic ↔ D. Vidic
Čelik
🔄
88'
A. Mohedano ↔ H. Vardo
Čelik
🔄
88'
H. Sabanovic ↔ E. Sivac
Čelik

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Čelik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.2%
2.04
BTTS Yes
71%
1.84
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.14
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Win 82.2%
Draw 6.8%
Čelik Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1.18
Čelik1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
Čelik Čelik
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 13 matches
Čelik Čelik 9 matches
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Statistic Čelik
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
14 Goals For 15
17 Goals Against 12
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
5 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's more proactive style and Čelik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 10 points compared to Čelik in 7 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Čelik having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Čelik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 10 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Čelik Analysis

Čelik sit 7 with 7 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 10:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won 6 times, Čelik won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo wins 6, draws 1, Čelik wins 2

Standings

Premier Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 17:5 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 15:7 8 19
W W W L W
3 8 4 1 3 6:5 1 13
W L L W W
4 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
D D W W L
5 8 2 3 3 10:11 -1 9
L D L L D
6 8 2 3 3 5:8 -3 9
L L D W D
7 8 2 2 4 11:12 -1 8
D W L D W
8 8 2 2 4 12:14 -2 8
D D W L L
9 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
L W L D L
10 8 0 4 4 12:19 -7 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation