Login Register
07.10.2026 15:00
York Lions Stadium
York United
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Sean Rea
Supra du Quebec
⚽
7'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
8'
K. Ferdinand ↔ E. Awonongbadje
Supra du Quebec
⚽
17'
L. A. Kwemi · Assist: D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🟨
26'
Juan Córdova
York United
⚽
37'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
45'
F. Sturing ↔ K. Kibato
York United
🔄
46'
S. Gonzales ↔ B. Badibanga
York United
VAR
47'
Eliakim Awonongbadje
Supra du Quebec
🟨
57'
Beni Badibanga
York United
🟨
60'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🔄
64'
S. Rea ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
65'
O. El Kalkouli ↔ C. Bayiha
Supra du Quebec
🔄
74'
I. Conde ↔ N. Santos
Supra du Quebec
🟨
83'
Carlos Guzmán
York United
VAR
85'
Carlos Guzmán
York United
🟨
90'
Raúl López
York United
VAR
90+3'
Oswaldo León
York United

York United vs Supra du Quebec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
81.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
York United Win 49.2%
Draw 16.8%
Supra du Quebec Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.69
Supra du Quebec1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
40 GF / 54 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
20
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
14
4.04
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 25 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 24 matches
York United Statistic Supra du Quebec
7 Wins 8
9 Draws 4
9 Losses 12
40 Goals For 36
54 Goals Against 44
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
20 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 14
15 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
4.04 Shots On Goal 4.75
11.88 Total Shots 14.79
3.17 Corners 4.75
46.4% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Supra du Quebec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Supra du Quebec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with York United expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Supra du Quebec in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control.

York United Analysis

From their first 24 matches, York United have collected 27 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 39:54 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Yeates (3 goals), L. Accettola (3 goals), T. Skublak (2 goals), with creative support from J. Almagro (4 assists), O. Bassett (2 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 28 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 36:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Chretien (2 goals), L. Kwemi (2 goals), I. Conde (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (2 assists), D. Abzi (2 assists), D. Choinière (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, York United won 0 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from York United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: York United wins 0, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 1

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 57:23 34 57
W D L L W
2 27 17 6 4 48:21 27 57
W W W D D
3 27 13 4 10 41:43 -2 43
L W W W L
4 27 10 7 10 39:36 3 37
W D D D D
5 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
6 27 7 7 13 41:46 -5 28
L D D L W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 27 2 8 17 32:61 -29 14
L L L L W