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18.10.2026 10:00
Girnyk
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Kryvbas KR
Match Timeline
LNZ Cherkasy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
T. Cara · Assist: V. Roman
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
46'
B. Lin ↔ Y. Rivas
Kryvbas KR
🔄
46'
D. Pidgurskyi ↔ G. Herbert
Kryvbas KR
🔄
58'
D. Kuzyk ↔ C. David
LNZ Cherkasy
🟨
65'
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Kryvbas KR
🔄
66'
O. Kamenskyi ↔ A. Seck
Kryvbas KR
🔄
70'
T. Cara ↔ G. Pasich
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
70'
Talles Brener ↔ Y. Tverdokhlib
LNZ Cherkasy
⚽
70'
P. Yade · Assist: C. David
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
77'
S. Satchwell ↔ V. Mulyk
Kryvbas KR
⚽
85'
C. David · Assist: O. Drambayev
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
87'
A. Yakubu ↔ M. Tlumak
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
87'
P. Yade ↔ M. Donyk
LNZ Cherkasy

Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kryvbas KR Win 43%
Draw 25.9%
LNZ Cherkasy Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kryvbas KR1.04
LNZ Cherkasy1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR
L L D L D
3 GF / 8 GA
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
W L W D L
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.23
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
13
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
10
2.33
Shots on Goal
1.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 18 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 26 matches
Kryvbas KR Statistic LNZ Cherkasy
3 Wins 14
5 Draws 6
10 Losses 6
22 Goals For 32
36 Goals Against 20
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
13 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 11
2.33 Shots On Goal 1.8
5.83 Total Shots 4.7
4 Corners 1.5
45.7% Ball Possession 33.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward LNZ Cherkasy. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kryvbas KR expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and LNZ Cherkasy in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LNZ Cherkasy having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Kryvbas KR Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Kryvbas KR still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

LNZ Cherkasy Analysis

From their first 7 matches, LNZ Cherkasy have collected 8 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kryvbas KR won 3 times, LNZ Cherkasy won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Kryvbas KR's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.1%)
Predicted formations: Kryvbas KR 4-1-4-1 / LNZ Cherkasy 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kryvbas KR wins 3, draws 2, LNZ Cherkasy wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 22:5 17 28
W D W W W
2 10 8 1 1 23:8 15 25
W W D W W
3 10 7 1 2 16:9 7 22
W W L W W
4 9 7 0 2 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
5 11 5 4 2 22:8 14 19
W D D L D
6 11 5 3 3 13:13 0 18
W D W W L
7 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
D W W L W
8 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L W W L
9 10 2 3 5 8:12 -4 9
W D L L D
10 11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
L L D L L
11 10 1 6 3 7:12 -5 9
D L D L
12 11 2 3 6 7:16 -9 9
L L L L W
13 9 1 5 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W
14 10 1 4 5 4:17 -13 7
L L W D
15 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L D L L
16 11 1 2 8 11:29 -18 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga