CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
York Lions Stadium
York United
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Julian Altobelli · Assist: Steffen Yeates
York United
🟨
15'
Ariel Almagro
York United
🟨
34'
Ibrahim Condé
Supra du Quebec
🟨
42'
David Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
VAR
52'
Julian Altobelli
York United
🔄
57'
Julian Altobelli ↔ Beni Badibanga
York United
61'
Loïc Kwemi · Assist: David Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
🟨
64'
Tomasz Skublak
York United
🟨
68'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🔄
68'
Ollie Bassett ↔ Kembo Kibato
York United
🟨
69'
Carlos Guzmán
York United
🔄
78'
David Choiniere ↔ Riad Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
83'
Aboubacar Sissoko ↔ Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
🟨
86'
Oswaldo León
York United
VAR
87'
Oswaldo León
York United
🟨
89'
Kembo Kibato
York United
VAR
90+6'
Steffen Yeates
York United
🟨
90+8'
Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
🟨
90+3'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🟥
90+3'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90'
Juan Córdova ↔ Sebastián Gonzales Zela
York United
🔄
90'
Sean Rea ↔ Zachary Fernandez
Supra du Quebec

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.1%
2.25
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.45
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.00
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
York United Win 33.1%
Draw 17.9%
Supra du Quebec Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.54
Supra du Quebec1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
21 GF / 34 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
25 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.47
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
11
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
11
1.67
Shots on Goal
1.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 16 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 17 matches
York United Statistic Supra du Quebec
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
21 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 32
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
11 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 3
1.67 Shots On Goal 1.65
3.73 Total Shots 6
0.87 Corners 2.06
14.7% Ball Possession 25.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Supra du Quebec. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. York United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

York United Analysis

York United sit 7 with 14 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 18 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, York United won 0 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from York United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: York United 4-2-3-1 / Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: York United wins 0, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 1
Stats
York United York United
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 10
15 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Goal 10
5 Shots off Goal 10
1 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 9
9 Goalkeeper Saves 0
365 Total passes 473
289 Passes accurate 404
0.40 expected_goals 2.12
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

York United
Formation
Supra du Quebec
Ivan Pavela
Ivan Pavela
Luke Singh
Luke Singh
Frank Sturing
Frank Sturing
Oswaldo León
Oswaldo León
Carlos Guzmán
Carlos Guzmán
Steffen Yeates
🎯
Steffen Yeates
Ollie Bassett
Ollie Bassett
Juan Córdova
Juan Córdova
Julian Altobelli
Julian Altobelli
Tomasz Skublak
Tomasz Skublak
Ariel Almagro
Ariel Almagro
Joakim Milli
Joakim Milli
Aboubacar Sissoko
Aboubacar Sissoko
Keesean Ferdinand
Keesean Ferdinand
Matisse Chretien
Matisse Chretien
Abzi Diyaeddine
Abzi Diyaeddine
Alessandro Biello
Alessandro Biello
Safwane Mlah
Safwane Mlah
David Choiniere
🎯
David Choiniere
Sean Rea
Sean Rea
Loïc Kwemi
Loïc Kwemi
Ibrahim Condé
Ibrahim Condé
York United 3-4-3
Starting XI
12
Ivan Pavela
G
3
Luke Singh
D
5
Frank Sturing
D
4
Oswaldo León
🟨 86'
D
8
Carlos Guzmán
🟨 69'
M
7
Steffen Yeates
🎯 14'
M
10
Ollie Bassett
↓ 68'
M
23
Juan Córdova
↓ 90'
M
18
Julian Altobelli
⚽ 14' ↓ 57'
F
77
Tomasz Skublak
🟨 64'
F
11
Ariel Almagro
🟨 15'
F
Substitutes
39
Beni Badibanga
↑ 57'
F
21
Kembo Kibato
↑ 68' 🟨 89'
M
9
Sebastián Gonzales Zela
↑ 90'
F
24
Michael Williams
G
6
Raúl López
D
13
Luca Accettola
M
38
David Peraza
F
Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
Joakim Milli
G
33
Aboubacar Sissoko
↓ 83'
D
5
Keesean Ferdinand
D
4
Matisse Chretien
D
11
Abzi Diyaeddine
🟨 68' 🟨 90+3' 🟥 90+3'
D
6
Alessandro Biello
M
24
Safwane Mlah
M
7
David Choiniere
🎯 61' ↓ 78' 🟨 42'
M
10
Sean Rea
↓ 90'
M
9
Loïc Kwemi
⚽ 61'
M
99
Ibrahim Condé
🟨 34'
F
Substitutes
77
Riad Bey
↑ 78'
F
2
Charles Auguste
↑ 83' 🟨 90+8'
M
23
Zachary Fernandez
↑ 90'
D
80
Makhoudia Diop
G
3
Thomas Lebeuf
D
8
Omar Elkalouli
M
13
Alexander Makarova
F
Last matches: York United
16.08.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
4
3
W
08.08.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
1
D
02.08.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
0
5
L
26.07.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
3
L
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: York United vs Supra du Quebec
23.08.26
H2H
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
29.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
L
Last matches: York United
16.08.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
4
3
W
26.07.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
3
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H at home: York United
23.08.26
H2H
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
23.08.26
H2H
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.71
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.38
Over 2.5 1.45
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 3.75 2.41
Over 4.0 2.89
Under 2.25 2.87
Under 2.5 2.61
Under 2.75 2.35
Under 3.0 2.10
Under 3.25 1.85
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.0 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 3.60
Home 2.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.40
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.75
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.24
Draw 3.56
Home 2.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.32
Home 3.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 2.75
Home 2.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.87
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.34
Over 4.0 2.81
Over 4.25 3.09
Over 4.5 3.34
Over 4.75 4.06
Over 5.0 5.30
Over 5.25 5.60
Over 5.5 5.90
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 1.75 4.70
Under 2.0 4.25
Under 2.25 3.07
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 4.75 1.17
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 3.75
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.5 2.07
Over 4.5 3.35
Under 2.5 2.63
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 4.5 1.27

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L