09.09.2026 23:30
York Lions Stadium
York United
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Carlos Guzman
York United
14'
R. Kratt · Assist: Y. Toualy
Pacific FC
🟨
20'
Ollie Bassett
York United
🟨
45+1'
Tomasz Noah Skublak
York United
VAR
45+2'
Tomasz Noah Skublak
York United
🔄
45'
Carlos Guzman ↔ Luca accettola
York United
🔄
45'
Juan Córdova ↔ Kembo·Kibato
York United
55'
Kembo·Kibato · Assist: Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
York United
57'
Y. Toualy · Assist: R. Kratt
Pacific FC
59'
Luca accettola · Assist: Tomasz Noah Skublak
York United
🔄
64'
Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke ↔ Jessé Costa
York United
🔄
65'
Josh Heard ↔ J. Kadin Brian Chung
Pacific FC
🔄
76'
Tomasz Noah Skublak ↔ Chimaobim Onyeocha
York United
🔄
76'
R. Kratt ↔ Alejandro Diaz
Pacific FC
🔄
76'
Marco Bustos ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC
🟨
77'
D. Konincks
Pacific FC
🟨
80'
Steffen Yeates
York United
VAR
82'
Alejandro Diaz
Pacific FC
85'
Alejandro Diaz
Pacific FC
87'
Luke Singh · Assist: Ollie Bassett
York United
🔄
87'
Y. Toualy ↔ Tristan Kendal Marshall
Pacific FC
🔄
87'
Aidan Daniels ↔ Shaan Hundal
Pacific FC
🟨
90+2'
Chimaobim Onyeocha
York United
🟨
90+3'
Tristan Kendal Marshall
Pacific FC
🟨
90+5'
Jessé Costa
York United
🟨
90+6'
Oswaldo Leon
York United
🟨
90+7'
Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi
Pacific FC

York United vs Pacific FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
2.21
BTTS Yes
86%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.46
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
York United Win 67%
Draw 12.5%
Pacific FC Win 20.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.58
Pacific FC1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
24 GF / 38 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
22 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.16
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.05
14
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
1.72
Shots on Goal
2.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 19 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 19 matches
York United Statistic Pacific FC
5 Wins 1
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
24 Goals For 22
38 Goals Against 39
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.05
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 5
1.72 Shots On Goal 2.37
3.78 Total Shots 6.58
0.83 Corners 2.05
17.1% Ball Possession 26.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pacific FC. York United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 18 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with York United expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Pacific FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

York United Analysis

From their first 17 matches, York United have collected 18 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 22:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Pacific FC have collected 8 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while the 22:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Bustos (1 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 5 times, Pacific FC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from York United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: York United wins 5, draws 4, Pacific FC wins 6

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:12 28 46
W W W W D
2 21 14 3 4 33:15 18 45
W D L W W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 22 9 3 10 30:28 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 20 1 7 12 25:42 -17 10
D D W L D