Login Register
25.10.2026 20:00
York Lions Stadium

York United vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
York United Win 36.5%
Draw 13.8%
Atlético Ottawa Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.56
Atlético Ottawa1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
41 GF / 64 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
41 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
21
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
19
3.85
Shots on Goal
2.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 28 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 29 matches
York United Statistic Atlético Ottawa
7 Wins 13
9 Draws 4
12 Losses 12
41 Goals For 41
64 Goals Against 50
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
21 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 7
3.85 Shots On Goal 2.9
11.85 Total Shots 7.76
3.41 Corners 3.38
46.7% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Atlético Ottawa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while York United sit 7 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with York United expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Atlético Ottawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. York United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlético Ottawa.

York United Analysis

With 27 points from 27 games and a place of 7, York United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 40:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Yeates (3 goals), T. Skublak (3 goals), L. Accettola (3 goals), with creative support from J. Almagro (4 assists), O. Bassett (2 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 43 points after 27 matches. With 13 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:43, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tabla (2 goals), G. Antinoro (2 goals), K. Habibullah (2 goals), with creative support from N. Fleuriau Chateau (1 assists), J. Assi (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 5 times, Atlético Ottawa won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from York United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Atlético Ottawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: York United wins 5, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 5

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 57:23 34 57
W D L L W
2 27 17 6 4 48:21 27 57
W W W D D
3 27 13 4 10 41:43 -2 43
L W W W L
4 27 10 7 10 39:36 3 37
W D D D D
5 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
6 27 7 7 13 41:46 -5 28
L D D L W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 27 2 8 17 32:61 -29 14
L L L L W