ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
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Racecourse Ground

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.4%
1.88
BTTS Yes
71%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.88
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.4%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Wrexham Win 79.4%
Draw 10.3%
Watford Win 10.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wrexham0.88
Watford1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wrexham Wrexham
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
4
8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wrexham Wrexham 3 matches
Watford Watford 5 matches
Wrexham Statistic Watford
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
2 Goals For 8
1 Goals Against 6
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
8 Shots On Goal 3
18 Total Shots 16
9 Corners 4
33% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham won 0 times, Watford won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Wrexham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Wrexham 5-4-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wrexham wins 0, draws 1, Watford wins 1
Last matches: Wrexham
17.08.26
Cha
Wrexham
Cardiff
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
26.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
2
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
07.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Southampton
1
5
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
1
2
L
07.03.26
FA
Wrexham
Chelsea
2
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
5
3
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
13.02.26
FA
Wrexham
Ipswich
1
0
W
Last matches: Watford
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
H2H: Wrexham vs Watford
17.03.26
H2H
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
L
13.12.25
H2H
Wrexham
Watford
2
2
D
Last matches: Wrexham
02.05.26
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Southampton
1
5
L
13.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
1
2
L
07.03.26
FA
Wrexham
Chelsea
2
4
L
24.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
5
3
W
13.02.26
FA
Wrexham
Ipswich
1
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Millwall
0
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Leicester
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Norwich
1
2
L
09.01.26
FA
Wrexham
Nottingham Forest
3
3
D
29.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Preston
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
5
3
W
13.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
2
2
D
29.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Blackburn
1
1
D
26.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
31.10.25
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
3
2
W
H2H at home: Wrexham
13.12.25
H2H
Wrexham
Watford
2
2
D
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
H2H away: Watford
13.12.25
H2H
Wrexham
Watford
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.04
Draw 3.68
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.59
Draw 2.31
Home 2.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.43
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.12
Over 3.0 2.54
Over 3.5 3.17
Over 4.5 6.02
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 2.0 2.87
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.50
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.20
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 3.60
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.53
Draw 2.14
Home 2.46
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.04
Draw 2.53
Home 2.21
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.44
Over 3.25 2.74
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.74
Over 4.0 5.10
Over 4.25 5.50
Over 4.5 5.90
Over 4.75 8.45
Over 5.0 8.40
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.90
Under 1.0 9.10
Under 1.25 4.90
Under 1.5 3.54
Under 1.75 3.16
Under 2.0 2.73
Under 2.25 2.23
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.36
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 3.45
Home 1.96
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.14
Home 2.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.63
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.45
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.10
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.23
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.72
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.41
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 -4
L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One