POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
16.05.2026 15:30
Orlen Stadion
Referee: W. Myc
Wisla Plock
Match Timeline
Gornik Zabrze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Łukasz Sekulski
Wisla Plock
🔄
60'
D. Juric ↔ S. Hamulic
Wisla Plock
🔄
68'
L. Sekulski ↔ G. Niarchos
Wisla Plock
🟨
70'
Nemanja Mijušković
Wisla Plock
🔄
70'
L. Sadilek ↔ L. Podolski
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
70'
P. Hellebrand ↔ L. Ambros
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
70'
O. Zmrzly ↔ E. Janza
Gornik Zabrze
75'
M. Khlan · Assist: L. Ambros
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
77'
K. Pomorski ↔ D. Sarapata
Wisla Plock
🔄
78'
M. Khlan ↔ K. Lukoszek
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
84'
Lukáš Ambros
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
85'
Y. Ikia Dimi ↔ R. Massimo
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
90+2'
Quentin Lecoeuche
Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wisla Plock Win 14.1%
Draw 0%
Gornik Zabrze Win 85.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wisla Plock1.05
Gornik Zabrze1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WWDLW
32 GF / 35 GA
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
15
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
15
3.59
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 matches
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 matches
Wisla Plock Statistic Gornik Zabrze
12 Wins 14
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 10
32 Goals For 43
35 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
15 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 10
3.59 Shots On Goal 4.31
12 Total Shots 15.81
4.19 Corners 5.78
43.2% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gornik Zabrze's more proactive style and Wisla Plock's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gornik Zabrze. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Wisla Plock have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wisla Plock expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Gornik Zabrze in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gornik Zabrze having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wisla Plock Analysis

With 45 points from 32 games and a place of 7, Wisla Plock still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 32:35, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through L. Sekulski (8 goals), Deni Jurić (5 goals), Wiktor Nowak (4 goals), with creative support from D. Kun (4 assists), Dani Pacheco (3 assists), J. Jimenez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Gornik Zabrze approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 49 points after 31 outings. The return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 43:36, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Patrik Hellebrand (4 goals), with creative support from J. Kubicki (4 assists), Lukáš Ambros (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Wisla Plock won 4 times, Gornik Zabrze won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Wisla Plock's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Wisla Plock 3-5-2 / Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
H2H summary: Wisla Plock wins 4, draws 5, Gornik Zabrze wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation